Recent polling for Paraná's two Senate seats shows a fragmented contest with high undecided voters exceeding 70 percent, as Álvaro Dias's withdrawal in early August removed the prior frontrunner and left Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, Alexandre Curi, and Filipe Barros in technical ties near 19 percent in the latest IRG survey. Party conventions formalized multiple candidacies across Novo, PT, Republicanos, PL, and União Brasil, while a pending electoral court challenge to Dallagnol's eligibility adds procedural uncertainty. Traders price the 1st-place outcome near even odds across leading names because no candidate has consolidated support in a state with conservative leanings and split opposition votes, leaving room for late shifts from endorsements, turnout efforts, or further legal rulings before October.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJoaquim do MLB 44%
Karen Guerreiro 44%
Alexandre Curi 44%
Cristina Reis Graeml 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Joaquim do MLB
44%
Karen Guerreiro
44%
Alexandre Curi
44%
Cristina Reis Graeml
44%
Dr. Rosinha
44%
Filipe Barros
44%
Gleisi
44%
Deltan Dallagnol
42%
Marcelo Marcelino
9%
Joaquim do MLB 44%
Karen Guerreiro 44%
Alexandre Curi 44%
Cristina Reis Graeml 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Joaquim do MLB
$0 Обс.
44%
Karen Guerreiro
$0 Обс.
44%
Alexandre Curi
$0 Обс.
44%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$0 Обс.
44%
Dr. Rosinha
$0 Обс.
44%
Filipe Barros
$0 Обс.
44%
Gleisi
$0 Обс.
44%
Deltan Dallagnol
$0 Обс.
42%
Marcelo Marcelino
$20 Обс.
9%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Paraná's two Senate seats shows a fragmented contest with high undecided voters exceeding 70 percent, as Álvaro Dias's withdrawal in early August removed the prior frontrunner and left Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, Alexandre Curi, and Filipe Barros in technical ties near 19 percent in the latest IRG survey. Party conventions formalized multiple candidacies across Novo, PT, Republicanos, PL, and União Brasil, while a pending electoral court challenge to Dallagnol's eligibility adds procedural uncertainty. Traders price the 1st-place outcome near even odds across leading names because no candidate has consolidated support in a state with conservative leanings and split opposition votes, leaving room for late shifts from endorsements, turnout efforts, or further legal rulings before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Paraná's two Senate seats shows a fragmented contest with high undecided voters exceeding 70 percent, as Álvaro Dias's withdrawal in early August removed the prior frontrunner and left Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, Alexandre Curi, and Filipe Barros in technical ties near 19 percent in the latest IRG survey. Party conventions formalized multiple candidacies across Novo, PT, Republicanos, PL, and União Brasil, while a pending electoral court challenge to Dallagnol's eligibility adds procedural uncertainty. Traders price the 1st-place outcome near even odds across leading names because no candidate has consolidated support in a state with conservative leanings and split opposition votes, leaving room for late shifts from endorsements, turnout efforts, or further legal rulings before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Paraná's two Senate seats shows a fragmented contest with high undecided voters exceeding 70 percent, as Álvaro Dias's withdrawal in early August removed the prior frontrunner and left Deltan Dallagnol, Gleisi Hoffmann, Alexandre Curi, and Filipe Barros in technical ties near 19 percent in the latest IRG survey. Party conventions formalized multiple candidacies across Novo, PT, Republicanos, PL, and União Brasil, while a pending electoral court challenge to Dallagnol's eligibility adds procedural uncertainty. Traders price the 1st-place outcome near even odds across leading names because no candidate has consolidated support in a state with conservative leanings and split opposition votes, leaving room for late shifts from endorsements, turnout efforts, or further legal rulings before October.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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