In the fragmented 2026 Roraima Senate race for Brazil's two seats, trader consensus on second place remains tightly clustered among more than a dozen candidates because no single contender has established a dominant coalition or polling lead this early. Recent party conventions in early August finalized nominations, including Teresa Surita for MDB, multiple PL names tied to Bolsonaro family networks, PSOL's Mário Rocha and Bartô Macuxi, and others from PSB, PSD, and União Brasil. This broad field, combined with ongoing alliance negotiations and the absence of decisive statewide surveys, sustains even probabilities near 20-25% for top listed options. Separation could emerge from late endorsements, primary vote concentration in key municipalities, or shifts in turnout patterns ahead of October balloting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMario Rocha 27%
Nicoletti 26%
Regina Tio Ivo 25%
Pastor Isamar 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Mario Rocha
27%
Nicoletti
26%
Regina Tio Ivo
25%
Pastor Isamar
24%
Hilton Xavier
24%
Teresa Surita
24%
Helio Bolsonaro
23%
Chico Rodrigues
22%
Rogério Miranda
22%
Márcio Junqueira
22%
Bartô Macuxi
21%
Helena da Asatur
21%
Hiperion de Oliveira
21%
Mario Rocha 27%
Nicoletti 26%
Regina Tio Ivo 25%
Pastor Isamar 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Mario Rocha
$0 Обс.
27%
Nicoletti
$0 Обс.
26%
Regina Tio Ivo
$0 Обс.
25%
Pastor Isamar
$0 Обс.
24%
Hilton Xavier
$0 Обс.
24%
Teresa Surita
$0 Обс.
24%
Helio Bolsonaro
$0 Обс.
23%
Chico Rodrigues
$0 Обс.
22%
Rogério Miranda
$0 Обс.
22%
Márcio Junqueira
$0 Обс.
22%
Bartô Macuxi
$0 Обс.
21%
Helena da Asatur
$0 Обс.
21%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$0 Обс.
21%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the fragmented 2026 Roraima Senate race for Brazil's two seats, trader consensus on second place remains tightly clustered among more than a dozen candidates because no single contender has established a dominant coalition or polling lead this early. Recent party conventions in early August finalized nominations, including Teresa Surita for MDB, multiple PL names tied to Bolsonaro family networks, PSOL's Mário Rocha and Bartô Macuxi, and others from PSB, PSD, and União Brasil. This broad field, combined with ongoing alliance negotiations and the absence of decisive statewide surveys, sustains even probabilities near 20-25% for top listed options. Separation could emerge from late endorsements, primary vote concentration in key municipalities, or shifts in turnout patterns ahead of October balloting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the fragmented 2026 Roraima Senate race for Brazil's two seats, trader consensus on second place remains tightly clustered among more than a dozen candidates because no single contender has established a dominant coalition or polling lead this early. Recent party conventions in early August finalized nominations, including Teresa Surita for MDB, multiple PL names tied to Bolsonaro family networks, PSOL's Mário Rocha and Bartô Macuxi, and others from PSB, PSD, and União Brasil. This broad field, combined with ongoing alliance negotiations and the absence of decisive statewide surveys, sustains even probabilities near 20-25% for top listed options. Separation could emerge from late endorsements, primary vote concentration in key municipalities, or shifts in turnout patterns ahead of October balloting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the fragmented 2026 Roraima Senate race for Brazil's two seats, trader consensus on second place remains tightly clustered among more than a dozen candidates because no single contender has established a dominant coalition or polling lead this early. Recent party conventions in early August finalized nominations, including Teresa Surita for MDB, multiple PL names tied to Bolsonaro family networks, PSOL's Mário Rocha and Bartô Macuxi, and others from PSB, PSD, and União Brasil. This broad field, combined with ongoing alliance negotiations and the absence of decisive statewide surveys, sustains even probabilities near 20-25% for top listed options. Separation could emerge from late endorsements, primary vote concentration in key municipalities, or shifts in turnout patterns ahead of October balloting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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