The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for two open seats on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with recent Quaest and other surveys showing a technical tie among five or more contenders within the margin of error. Leading options such as Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) sit in a tight cluster, reflecting divided voter preferences across left, center, and right-leaning coalitions without a dominant frontrunner. Incumbent senators are not seeking reelection, further opening the field to a broad list of declared candidates. Trader consensus on second place stays closely matched because no single contender has consolidated support or pulled ahead consistently in polling. Late-campaign events, coalition alignments, turnout shifts in key regions, or additional surveys could create separation before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLuciano do MLB 42%
Regis Ethur 36%
Milton Cardoso 30%
Ric Jones 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Luciano do MLB
42%
Regis Ethur
36%
Milton Cardoso
30%
Ric Jones
27%
Tania Peres
26%
Rigotto
25%
Sanderson
25%
Pimenta
24%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
24%
Renato Jaguarão
23%
Manuela D'Ávila
22%
Frederico Antunes
21%
Marcel Van Hattem
20%
Luciano do MLB 42%
Regis Ethur 36%
Milton Cardoso 30%
Ric Jones 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Luciano do MLB
$81 Обс.
42%
Regis Ethur
$67 Обс.
36%
Milton Cardoso
$20 Обс.
30%
Ric Jones
$59 Обс.
27%
Tania Peres
$59 Обс.
26%
Rigotto
$20 Обс.
25%
Sanderson
$20 Обс.
25%
Pimenta
$20 Обс.
24%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
$71 Обс.
24%
Renato Jaguarão
$20 Обс.
23%
Manuela D'Ávila
$20 Обс.
22%
Frederico Antunes
$20 Обс.
21%
Marcel Van Hattem
$20 Обс.
20%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for two open seats on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with recent Quaest and other surveys showing a technical tie among five or more contenders within the margin of error. Leading options such as Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) sit in a tight cluster, reflecting divided voter preferences across left, center, and right-leaning coalitions without a dominant frontrunner. Incumbent senators are not seeking reelection, further opening the field to a broad list of declared candidates. Trader consensus on second place stays closely matched because no single contender has consolidated support or pulled ahead consistently in polling. Late-campaign events, coalition alignments, turnout shifts in key regions, or additional surveys could create separation before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$496Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for two open seats on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with recent Quaest and other surveys showing a technical tie among five or more contenders within the margin of error. Leading options such as Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) sit in a tight cluster, reflecting divided voter preferences across left, center, and right-leaning coalitions without a dominant frontrunner. Incumbent senators are not seeking reelection, further opening the field to a broad list of declared candidates. Trader consensus on second place stays closely matched because no single contender has consolidated support or pulled ahead consistently in polling. Late-campaign events, coalition alignments, turnout shifts in key regions, or additional surveys could create separation before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$496Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for two open seats on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with recent Quaest and other surveys showing a technical tie among five or more contenders within the margin of error. Leading options such as Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) sit in a tight cluster, reflecting divided voter preferences across left, center, and right-leaning coalitions without a dominant frontrunner. Incumbent senators are not seeking reelection, further opening the field to a broad list of declared candidates. Trader consensus on second place stays closely matched because no single contender has consolidated support or pulled ahead consistently in polling. Late-campaign events, coalition alignments, turnout shifts in key regions, or additional surveys could create separation before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання