The closely matched trader consensus reflects a Texas U.S. Senate contest that has tightened into a toss-up following Ken Paxton's May 2026 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late Donald Trump endorsement, and James Talarico's March Democratic primary win over Jasmine Crockett. Multiple late-summer polls show the nominees within a few points, with Talarico often edging ahead among independents, Hispanic voters, and even some non-college-educated groups, while Paxton consolidates the GOP base. Talarico's substantial fundraising and advertising edge, exceeding $60 million raised compared to Paxton's lower totals, has sustained Democratic momentum in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1988. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election a toss-up or lean Republican, with late developments in turnout or messaging likely to decide the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$980,965 Обс.
$980,965 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
49%
$980,965 Обс.
$980,965 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$448,006 Обс.
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
$532,959 Обс.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely matched trader consensus reflects a Texas U.S. Senate contest that has tightened into a toss-up following Ken Paxton's May 2026 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late Donald Trump endorsement, and James Talarico's March Democratic primary win over Jasmine Crockett. Multiple late-summer polls show the nominees within a few points, with Talarico often edging ahead among independents, Hispanic voters, and even some non-college-educated groups, while Paxton consolidates the GOP base. Talarico's substantial fundraising and advertising edge, exceeding $60 million raised compared to Paxton's lower totals, has sustained Democratic momentum in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1988. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election a toss-up or lean Republican, with late developments in turnout or messaging likely to decide the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$980,965Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely matched trader consensus reflects a Texas U.S. Senate contest that has tightened into a toss-up following Ken Paxton's May 2026 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late Donald Trump endorsement, and James Talarico's March Democratic primary win over Jasmine Crockett. Multiple late-summer polls show the nominees within a few points, with Talarico often edging ahead among independents, Hispanic voters, and even some non-college-educated groups, while Paxton consolidates the GOP base. Talarico's substantial fundraising and advertising edge, exceeding $60 million raised compared to Paxton's lower totals, has sustained Democratic momentum in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1988. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election a toss-up or lean Republican, with late developments in turnout or messaging likely to decide the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$980,965Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched trader consensus reflects a Texas U.S. Senate contest that has tightened into a toss-up following Ken Paxton's May 2026 Republican primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late Donald Trump endorsement, and James Talarico's March Democratic primary win over Jasmine Crockett. Multiple late-summer polls show the nominees within a few points, with Talarico often edging ahead among independents, Hispanic voters, and even some non-college-educated groups, while Paxton consolidates the GOP base. Talarico's substantial fundraising and advertising edge, exceeding $60 million raised compared to Paxton's lower totals, has sustained Democratic momentum in a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1988. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election a toss-up or lean Republican, with late developments in turnout or messaging likely to decide the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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