Minnesota's partisan composition and recent voting patterns continue to underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold on the open Senate seat. With incumbent Tina Smith retiring, the August 11 Democratic primary between Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan has drawn attention, yet general election polling from early 2026 shows Democratic nominees leading Republican contenders by 6–11 points. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, citing the state's D+3 partisan voting index and a relatively limited Republican field. Upcoming primary outcomes and any shifts in candidate positioning remain the primary variables that could influence probabilities before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMinnesota Senate Election Winner
$25,052 Обс.
$25,052 Обс.

Democrat
90%

Republican
11%
$25,052 Обс.
$25,052 Обс.

Democrat
90%

Republican
11%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's partisan composition and recent voting patterns continue to underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold on the open Senate seat. With incumbent Tina Smith retiring, the August 11 Democratic primary between Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan has drawn attention, yet general election polling from early 2026 shows Democratic nominees leading Republican contenders by 6–11 points. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, citing the state's D+3 partisan voting index and a relatively limited Republican field. Upcoming primary outcomes and any shifts in candidate positioning remain the primary variables that could influence probabilities before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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