Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, following incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement announcement, features a Democratic primary on August 11 between leading contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, both of whom hold established records in statewide or federal office. Forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, consistent with the state's recent Senate voting patterns and partisan composition. Early 2026 general election polling shows Democratic options ahead of Republican primary frontrunner Michele Tafoya by several points, while the Republican field lacks high-profile challengers. These factors, including historical base rates for the party in Minnesota contests and limited recent shifts in the race, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMinnesota Senate Election Winner
$25,052 Обс.
$25,052 Обс.

Democrat
90%

Republican
11%
$25,052 Обс.
$25,052 Обс.

Democrat
90%

Republican
11%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, following incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement announcement, features a Democratic primary on August 11 between leading contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, both of whom hold established records in statewide or federal office. Forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, consistent with the state's recent Senate voting patterns and partisan composition. Early 2026 general election polling shows Democratic options ahead of Republican primary frontrunner Michele Tafoya by several points, while the Republican field lacks high-profile challengers. These factors, including historical base rates for the party in Minnesota contests and limited recent shifts in the race, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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