Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement announcement, remains a structural advantage for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state's recent voting patterns and partisan composition have produced consistent Democratic wins in Senate contests, reflected in "Likely Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Early general election polling shows Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan ahead of Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by several points. The Republican primary features limited high-profile challengers and lower fundraising, while the Democratic contest between progressive Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, who secured party endorsement, and moderate Rep. Angie Craig continues without shifting the broader outlook. Traders assign the 89.5% probability to a Democratic winner based on these factors and historical base rates for similar open seats in the state.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$25,052 Обс.
$25,052 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
11%
$25,052 Обс.
$25,052 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$17,097 Обс.
90%
Republican
$7,955 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement announcement, remains a structural advantage for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state's recent voting patterns and partisan composition have produced consistent Democratic wins in Senate contests, reflected in "Likely Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Early general election polling shows Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan ahead of Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by several points. The Republican primary features limited high-profile challengers and lower fundraising, while the Democratic contest between progressive Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, who secured party endorsement, and moderate Rep. Angie Craig continues without shifting the broader outlook. Traders assign the 89.5% probability to a Democratic winner based on these factors and historical base rates for similar open seats in the state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$25,052Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement announcement, remains a structural advantage for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state's recent voting patterns and partisan composition have produced consistent Democratic wins in Senate contests, reflected in "Likely Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Early general election polling shows Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan ahead of Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by several points. The Republican primary features limited high-profile challengers and lower fundraising, while the Democratic contest between progressive Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, who secured party endorsement, and moderate Rep. Angie Craig continues without shifting the broader outlook. Traders assign the 89.5% probability to a Democratic winner based on these factors and historical base rates for similar open seats in the state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$25,052Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement announcement, remains a structural advantage for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state's recent voting patterns and partisan composition have produced consistent Democratic wins in Senate contests, reflected in "Likely Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Early general election polling shows Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan ahead of Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by several points. The Republican primary features limited high-profile challengers and lower fundraising, while the Democratic contest between progressive Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, who secured party endorsement, and moderate Rep. Angie Craig continues without shifting the broader outlook. Traders assign the 89.5% probability to a Democratic winner based on these factors and historical base rates for similar open seats in the state.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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