Trader consensus assigns Republicans an 89.5% implied probability of victory in Ohio's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and freshman incumbent Michael Rulli's commanding 2024 wins—66.7% in the general election and 54.6% in the special—against Democrat Michael Kripchak. The district, electing under a new congressional map, remains Solid Republican per Cook Political Report's April 14 analysis, projecting Rulli's easy reelection despite a GOP primary challenge from Jullie Kelley on May 5. Democrats face a fragmented primary field of six candidates plus a write-in, diluting resources in this historically GOP stronghold with no recent polling shifts or competitive catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-06 House Election Winner
OH-06 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,410 Обс.
90%
Democratic Party
$3,158 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns Republicans an 89.5% implied probability of victory in Ohio's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and freshman incumbent Michael Rulli's commanding 2024 wins—66.7% in the general election and 54.6% in the special—against Democrat Michael Kripchak. The district, electing under a new congressional map, remains Solid Republican per Cook Political Report's April 14 analysis, projecting Rulli's easy reelection despite a GOP primary challenge from Jullie Kelley on May 5. Democrats face a fragmented primary field of six candidates plus a write-in, diluting resources in this historically GOP stronghold with no recent polling shifts or competitive catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,568Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns Republicans an 89.5% implied probability of victory in Ohio's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and freshman incumbent Michael Rulli's commanding 2024 wins—66.7% in the general election and 54.6% in the special—against Democrat Michael Kripchak. The district, electing under a new congressional map, remains Solid Republican per Cook Political Report's April 14 analysis, projecting Rulli's easy reelection despite a GOP primary challenge from Jullie Kelley on May 5. Democrats face a fragmented primary field of six candidates plus a write-in, diluting resources in this historically GOP stronghold with no recent polling shifts or competitive catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$4,568Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns Republicans an 89.5% implied probability of victory in Ohio's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and freshman incumbent Michael Rulli's commanding 2024 wins—66.7% in the general election and 54.6% in the special—against Democrat Michael Kripchak. The district, electing under a new congressional map, remains Solid Republican per Cook Political Report's April 14 analysis, projecting Rulli's easy reelection despite a GOP primary challenge from Jullie Kelley on May 5. Democrats face a fragmented primary field of six candidates plus a write-in, diluting resources in this historically GOP stronghold with no recent polling shifts or competitive catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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