Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, encompassing Lancaster County and southern York County, maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's consistent performance. Lloyd Smucker secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with strong support, positioning the party for continued control in the November general election. Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion faces structural challenges in this area, where Republicans have held the seat since 2017 and prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 90% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals, including limited recent polling shifts or candidate developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the November 3 contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-11 House Election Winner
PA-11 House Election Winner
$14,782 Обс.
$14,782 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
$14,782 Обс.
$14,782 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,832 Обс.
90%
Democratic Party
$4,950 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, encompassing Lancaster County and southern York County, maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's consistent performance. Lloyd Smucker secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with strong support, positioning the party for continued control in the November general election. Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion faces structural challenges in this area, where Republicans have held the seat since 2017 and prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 90% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals, including limited recent polling shifts or candidate developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,782Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, encompassing Lancaster County and southern York County, maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's consistent performance. Lloyd Smucker secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with strong support, positioning the party for continued control in the November general election. Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion faces structural challenges in this area, where Republicans have held the seat since 2017 and prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 90% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals, including limited recent polling shifts or candidate developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,782Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, encompassing Lancaster County and southern York County, maintains a Republican lean reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's consistent performance. Lloyd Smucker secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary with strong support, positioning the party for continued control in the November general election. Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion faces structural challenges in this area, where Republicans have held the seat since 2017 and prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 90% for Republicans aligns with these fundamentals, including limited recent polling shifts or candidate developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the November 3 contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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