Democrat candidates hold a 71.5% implied probability in the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, with Republicans at 28%. Early June 2026 head-to-head polling shows Democratic primary contenders leading Republican Mike Rogers by margins of 1 to 7 points, reflecting the state's mixed recent results and voter composition in a contest rated as competitive by forecasters. The Democratic primary on August 4 remains tightly contested among Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and Mallory McMorrow, with significant outside spending and endorsements shaping nominee selection ahead of the November general election. Rogers secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition after his narrow 2024 defeat, yet general election surveys continue to favor Democrats in most tested pairings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$116,765 Обс.
$116,765 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
73%
Republican
28%
$116,765 Обс.
$116,765 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$82,910 Обс.
73%
Republican
$33,855 Обс.
28%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat candidates hold a 71.5% implied probability in the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, with Republicans at 28%. Early June 2026 head-to-head polling shows Democratic primary contenders leading Republican Mike Rogers by margins of 1 to 7 points, reflecting the state's mixed recent results and voter composition in a contest rated as competitive by forecasters. The Democratic primary on August 4 remains tightly contested among Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and Mallory McMorrow, with significant outside spending and endorsements shaping nominee selection ahead of the November general election. Rogers secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition after his narrow 2024 defeat, yet general election surveys continue to favor Democrats in most tested pairings.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$116,765Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat candidates hold a 71.5% implied probability in the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, with Republicans at 28%. Early June 2026 head-to-head polling shows Democratic primary contenders leading Republican Mike Rogers by margins of 1 to 7 points, reflecting the state's mixed recent results and voter composition in a contest rated as competitive by forecasters. The Democratic primary on August 4 remains tightly contested among Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and Mallory McMorrow, with significant outside spending and endorsements shaping nominee selection ahead of the November general election. Rogers secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition after his narrow 2024 defeat, yet general election surveys continue to favor Democrats in most tested pairings.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$116,765Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat candidates hold a 71.5% implied probability in the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, with Republicans at 28%. Early June 2026 head-to-head polling shows Democratic primary contenders leading Republican Mike Rogers by margins of 1 to 7 points, reflecting the state's mixed recent results and voter composition in a contest rated as competitive by forecasters. The Democratic primary on August 4 remains tightly contested among Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and Mallory McMorrow, with significant outside spending and endorsements shaping nominee selection ahead of the November general election. Rogers secured the Republican nomination with minimal opposition after his narrow 2024 defeat, yet general election surveys continue to favor Democrats in most tested pairings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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