Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 78.5% in the open Michigan Senate race, a battleground contest rated a toss-up by forecasters like Cook Political Report despite early general election polls showing tight matchups between Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers and Democratic primary leaders. Recent April polls, including Emerson (April 11-13) and Data for Progress (April 2-8), reveal a fluid Democratic primary with Abdul El-Sayed and Mallory McMorrow tied near 24%, Haley Stevens at 13-23%, and high undecideds at 33-36%, signaling consolidation potential ahead of the August 4 primary. Democrats hold a fundraising edge—Stevens ($8.9M), McMorrow ($8.6M), El-Sayed ($7.6M) versus Rogers ($7.6M)—bolstering viability in this swing state Trump narrowly carried in 2024, though national midterm patterns favoring the presidential out-party contribute to the wide market divergence from polling averages. Filing deadline looms April 21.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$105,364 Обс.
$105,364 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
79%
Republican
22%
$105,364 Обс.
$105,364 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$78,776 Обс.
79%
Republican
$26,588 Обс.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 78.5% in the open Michigan Senate race, a battleground contest rated a toss-up by forecasters like Cook Political Report despite early general election polls showing tight matchups between Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers and Democratic primary leaders. Recent April polls, including Emerson (April 11-13) and Data for Progress (April 2-8), reveal a fluid Democratic primary with Abdul El-Sayed and Mallory McMorrow tied near 24%, Haley Stevens at 13-23%, and high undecideds at 33-36%, signaling consolidation potential ahead of the August 4 primary. Democrats hold a fundraising edge—Stevens ($8.9M), McMorrow ($8.6M), El-Sayed ($7.6M) versus Rogers ($7.6M)—bolstering viability in this swing state Trump narrowly carried in 2024, though national midterm patterns favoring the presidential out-party contribute to the wide market divergence from polling averages. Filing deadline looms April 21.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$105,364Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 78.5% in the open Michigan Senate race, a battleground contest rated a toss-up by forecasters like Cook Political Report despite early general election polls showing tight matchups between Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers and Democratic primary leaders. Recent April polls, including Emerson (April 11-13) and Data for Progress (April 2-8), reveal a fluid Democratic primary with Abdul El-Sayed and Mallory McMorrow tied near 24%, Haley Stevens at 13-23%, and high undecideds at 33-36%, signaling consolidation potential ahead of the August 4 primary. Democrats hold a fundraising edge—Stevens ($8.9M), McMorrow ($8.6M), El-Sayed ($7.6M) versus Rogers ($7.6M)—bolstering viability in this swing state Trump narrowly carried in 2024, though national midterm patterns favoring the presidential out-party contribute to the wide market divergence from polling averages. Filing deadline looms April 21.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$105,364Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 78.5% in the open Michigan Senate race, a battleground contest rated a toss-up by forecasters like Cook Political Report despite early general election polls showing tight matchups between Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers and Democratic primary leaders. Recent April polls, including Emerson (April 11-13) and Data for Progress (April 2-8), reveal a fluid Democratic primary with Abdul El-Sayed and Mallory McMorrow tied near 24%, Haley Stevens at 13-23%, and high undecideds at 33-36%, signaling consolidation potential ahead of the August 4 primary. Democrats hold a fundraising edge—Stevens ($8.9M), McMorrow ($8.6M), El-Sayed ($7.6M) versus Rogers ($7.6M)—bolstering viability in this swing state Trump narrowly carried in 2024, though national midterm patterns favoring the presidential out-party contribute to the wide market divergence from polling averages. Filing deadline looms April 21.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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