Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented multiparty field contesting 395 House seats across local and regional lists, with no electoral threshold. Trader consensus assigns the Istiqlal Party the highest probability for third place amid expectations of dispersed support from low youth registration and anticipated abstention following the Gen Z 212 protests. The outgoing RNI-led coalition, alongside PAM and smaller lists such as MP, PPS, and USFP, remains competitive due to overlapping regional bases and late candidate filings. PJD efforts to recover from its 2021 collapse have yet to consolidate backing in polling averages. With the official campaign underway and final coalition alignments still fluid, modest shifts in turnout or last-minute endorsements could reorder the middle of the seat table before voting concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPI 56%
RNI 24%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.0%
$40,817 Обс.
$40,817 Обс.
Sep 23, 2026
PI
56%
RNI
24%
PJD
8%
PAM
4%
USFP
<1%
UC
<1%
MP
<1%
PPS
<1%
PI 56%
RNI 24%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.0%
$40,817 Обс.
$40,817 Обс.
Sep 23, 2026
PI
$19,986 Обс.
56%
RNI
$15,817 Обс.
24%
PJD
$1,072 Обс.
8%
PAM
$1,385 Обс.
4%
USFP
$916 Обс.
<1%
UC
$536 Обс.
<1%
MP
$568 Обс.
<1%
PPS
$537 Обс.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented multiparty field contesting 395 House seats across local and regional lists, with no electoral threshold. Trader consensus assigns the Istiqlal Party the highest probability for third place amid expectations of dispersed support from low youth registration and anticipated abstention following the Gen Z 212 protests. The outgoing RNI-led coalition, alongside PAM and smaller lists such as MP, PPS, and USFP, remains competitive due to overlapping regional bases and late candidate filings. PJD efforts to recover from its 2021 collapse have yet to consolidate backing in polling averages. With the official campaign underway and final coalition alignments still fluid, modest shifts in turnout or last-minute endorsements could reorder the middle of the seat table before voting concludes.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Обсяг
$40,817Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented multiparty field contesting 395 House seats across local and regional lists, with no electoral threshold. Trader consensus assigns the Istiqlal Party the highest probability for third place amid expectations of dispersed support from low youth registration and anticipated abstention following the Gen Z 212 protests. The outgoing RNI-led coalition, alongside PAM and smaller lists such as MP, PPS, and USFP, remains competitive due to overlapping regional bases and late candidate filings. PJD efforts to recover from its 2021 collapse have yet to consolidate backing in polling averages. With the official campaign underway and final coalition alignments still fluid, modest shifts in turnout or last-minute endorsements could reorder the middle of the seat table before voting concludes.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Обсяг
$40,817Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented multiparty field contesting 395 House seats across local and regional lists, with no electoral threshold. Trader consensus assigns the Istiqlal Party the highest probability for third place amid expectations of dispersed support from low youth registration and anticipated abstention following the Gen Z 212 protests. The outgoing RNI-led coalition, alongside PAM and smaller lists such as MP, PPS, and USFP, remains competitive due to overlapping regional bases and late candidate filings. PJD efforts to recover from its 2021 collapse have yet to consolidate backing in polling averages. With the official campaign underway and final coalition alignments still fluid, modest shifts in turnout or last-minute endorsements could reorder the middle of the seat table before voting concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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