The contest for third place in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election remains tight between the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) and New People, as recent party congresses finalized federal lists and regional groupings that shape proportional representation outcomes. Official and state pollsters have recorded fluctuating support among LDPR, New People, and the Communist Party (KPRF) through August, with New People showing gains in some surveys after merging with the Party of Growth and emphasizing regional candidates. The Supreme Court disqualification of Yabloko in mid-August removed one minor contender, potentially consolidating limited opposition votes among the remaining registered parties. Single-member district nominations and the five-percent threshold further influence final rankings ahead of the three-day voting window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 48%
New People (NL) 38%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 6%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 4.5%
$64,402 Обс.
$64,402 Обс.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
48%

New People (NL)
38%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
6%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
4%

Yabloko
1%

United Russia (ER)
1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 48%
New People (NL) 38%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 6%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 4.5%
$64,402 Обс.
$64,402 Обс.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
48%

New People (NL)
38%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
6%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
4%

Yabloko
1%

United Russia (ER)
1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The contest for third place in Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election remains tight between the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) and New People, as recent party congresses finalized federal lists and regional groupings that shape proportional representation outcomes. Official and state pollsters have recorded fluctuating support among LDPR, New People, and the Communist Party (KPRF) through August, with New People showing gains in some surveys after merging with the Party of Growth and emphasizing regional candidates. The Supreme Court disqualification of Yabloko in mid-August removed one minor contender, potentially consolidating limited opposition votes among the remaining registered parties. Single-member district nominations and the five-percent threshold further influence final rankings ahead of the three-day voting window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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