**Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest for second place behind the incumbent RNI, with PAM, PI (Istiqlal), and smaller parties holding closely matched implied probabilities near 27–33 percent.** The proportional system, local strongholds, and roughly four million first-time voters amplify small shifts in turnout or regional mobilization. Recent candidate list filings, multi-billion-dirham social programs focused on purchasing power, jobs, and youth integration, plus coalition frictions among governing parties have sustained uncertainty. Limited polling, voter disillusionment reflected in undecided shares and boycott calls, and the absence of decisive late momentum keep the field tight, with any surge in PJD or left-alliance support among urban or protest voters able to reorder the ranking before polls close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRNI 33%
PI 28.0%
PAM 28%
PJD 1.9%
$32,240 Обс.
$32,240 Обс.
Sep 23, 2026
RNI
33%
PI
28%
PAM
28%
PJD
12%
UC
1%
USFP
1%
PPS
<1%
MP
<1%
RNI 33%
PI 28.0%
PAM 28%
PJD 1.9%
$32,240 Обс.
$32,240 Обс.
Sep 23, 2026
RNI
$7,791 Обс.
33%
PI
$15,717 Обс.
28%
PAM
$5,584 Обс.
28%
PJD
$939 Обс.
12%
UC
$522 Обс.
1%
USFP
$530 Обс.
1%
PPS
$556 Обс.
<1%
MP
$600 Обс.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest for second place behind the incumbent RNI, with PAM, PI (Istiqlal), and smaller parties holding closely matched implied probabilities near 27–33 percent.**
The proportional system, local strongholds, and roughly four million first-time voters amplify small shifts in turnout or regional mobilization. Recent candidate list filings, multi-billion-dirham social programs focused on purchasing power, jobs, and youth integration, plus coalition frictions among governing parties have sustained uncertainty. Limited polling, voter disillusionment reflected in undecided shares and boycott calls, and the absence of decisive late momentum keep the field tight, with any surge in PJD or left-alliance support among urban or protest voters able to reorder the ranking before polls close.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Обсяг
$32,240Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest for second place behind the incumbent RNI, with PAM, PI (Istiqlal), and smaller parties holding closely matched implied probabilities near 27–33 percent.**
The proportional system, local strongholds, and roughly four million first-time voters amplify small shifts in turnout or regional mobilization. Recent candidate list filings, multi-billion-dirham social programs focused on purchasing power, jobs, and youth integration, plus coalition frictions among governing parties have sustained uncertainty. Limited polling, voter disillusionment reflected in undecided shares and boycott calls, and the absence of decisive late momentum keep the field tight, with any surge in PJD or left-alliance support among urban or protest voters able to reorder the ranking before polls close.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Обсяг
$32,240Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a fragmented contest for second place behind the incumbent RNI, with PAM, PI (Istiqlal), and smaller parties holding closely matched implied probabilities near 27–33 percent.** The proportional system, local strongholds, and roughly four million first-time voters amplify small shifts in turnout or regional mobilization. Recent candidate list filings, multi-billion-dirham social programs focused on purchasing power, jobs, and youth integration, plus coalition frictions among governing parties have sustained uncertainty. Limited polling, voter disillusionment reflected in undecided shares and boycott calls, and the absence of decisive late momentum keep the field tight, with any surge in PJD or left-alliance support among urban or protest voters able to reorder the ranking before polls close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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