Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in Texas's 1st congressional district, where the R+24 partisan voting index and consistent GOP presidential margins above 70 percent underpin the 94.5 percent trader consensus. Moran advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in a low-turnout runoff. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited campaign activity, modest Democratic fundraising, and the absence of polling shifts. An unexpected scandal involving Moran, a serious health event, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparably partisan districts limit such reversals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-01 House Election Winner
TX-01 House Election Winner
$44,827 Обс.
$44,827 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$44,827 Обс.
$44,827 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$5,021 Обс.
95%
Democratic Party
$39,806 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in Texas's 1st congressional district, where the R+24 partisan voting index and consistent GOP presidential margins above 70 percent underpin the 94.5 percent trader consensus. Moran advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in a low-turnout runoff. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited campaign activity, modest Democratic fundraising, and the absence of polling shifts. An unexpected scandal involving Moran, a serious health event, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparably partisan districts limit such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$44,827Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in Texas's 1st congressional district, where the R+24 partisan voting index and consistent GOP presidential margins above 70 percent underpin the 94.5 percent trader consensus. Moran advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in a low-turnout runoff. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited campaign activity, modest Democratic fundraising, and the absence of polling shifts. An unexpected scandal involving Moran, a serious health event, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparably partisan districts limit such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$44,827Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position in Texas's 1st congressional district, where the R+24 partisan voting index and consistent GOP presidential margins above 70 percent underpin the 94.5 percent trader consensus. Moran advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince secured her nomination in a low-turnout runoff. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited campaign activity, modest Democratic fundraising, and the absence of polling shifts. An unexpected scandal involving Moran, a serious health event, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparably partisan districts limit such reversals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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