Vermont's at-large congressional district has favored Democrats consistently since 1990, supporting the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic Party in this race. Incumbent Becca Balint seeks a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Vermont's partisan lean, combined with limited Republican primary competition from candidates such as Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy, reinforces the current implied probability. A late national Republican surge, incumbent-specific controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts unlikely to overturn the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$13,103 Обс.
$13,103 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$13,103 Обс.
$13,103 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,744 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$6,359 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large congressional district has favored Democrats consistently since 1990, supporting the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic Party in this race. Incumbent Becca Balint seeks a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Vermont's partisan lean, combined with limited Republican primary competition from candidates such as Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy, reinforces the current implied probability. A late national Republican surge, incumbent-specific controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts unlikely to overturn the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,103Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large congressional district has favored Democrats consistently since 1990, supporting the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic Party in this race. Incumbent Becca Balint seeks a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Vermont's partisan lean, combined with limited Republican primary competition from candidates such as Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy, reinforces the current implied probability. A late national Republican surge, incumbent-specific controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts unlikely to overturn the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,103Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont's at-large congressional district has favored Democrats consistently since 1990, supporting the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic Party in this race. Incumbent Becca Balint seeks a third term after winning reelection by more than 30 points in 2024, with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Vermont's partisan lean, combined with limited Republican primary competition from candidates such as Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy, reinforces the current implied probability. A late national Republican surge, incumbent-specific controversy, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and structural factors make such shifts unlikely to overturn the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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