Vermont’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with the party holding it continuously since 1990 and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by more than 17 points. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, first elected in 2022, secured reelection in 2024 by over 30 points and formally launched her 2026 campaign in May, positioning her as the clear frontrunner heading into the August primaries. Republican primary contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy lack substantial fundraising or broad party infrastructure, consistent with historical patterns where GOP nominees have struggled to exceed 30 percent in the general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Democratic. The 93.5 percent Democratic implied probability reflects this entrenched advantage and limited opposition. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong independent candidate qualifying for the November ballot, a late primary surprise, or unforeseen developments such as health issues or major scandals affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$13,103 Обс.
$13,103 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$13,103 Обс.
$13,103 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,744 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$6,359 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with the party holding it continuously since 1990 and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by more than 17 points. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, first elected in 2022, secured reelection in 2024 by over 30 points and formally launched her 2026 campaign in May, positioning her as the clear frontrunner heading into the August primaries. Republican primary contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy lack substantial fundraising or broad party infrastructure, consistent with historical patterns where GOP nominees have struggled to exceed 30 percent in the general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Democratic. The 93.5 percent Democratic implied probability reflects this entrenched advantage and limited opposition. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong independent candidate qualifying for the November ballot, a late primary surprise, or unforeseen developments such as health issues or major scandals affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,103Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with the party holding it continuously since 1990 and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by more than 17 points. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, first elected in 2022, secured reelection in 2024 by over 30 points and formally launched her 2026 campaign in May, positioning her as the clear frontrunner heading into the August primaries. Republican primary contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy lack substantial fundraising or broad party infrastructure, consistent with historical patterns where GOP nominees have struggled to exceed 30 percent in the general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Democratic. The 93.5 percent Democratic implied probability reflects this entrenched advantage and limited opposition. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong independent candidate qualifying for the November ballot, a late primary surprise, or unforeseen developments such as health issues or major scandals affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,103Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with the party holding it continuously since 1990 and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by more than 17 points. Incumbent Representative Becca Balint, first elected in 2022, secured reelection in 2024 by over 30 points and formally launched her 2026 campaign in May, positioning her as the clear frontrunner heading into the August primaries. Republican primary contenders Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy lack substantial fundraising or broad party infrastructure, consistent with historical patterns where GOP nominees have struggled to exceed 30 percent in the general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Democratic. The 93.5 percent Democratic implied probability reflects this entrenched advantage and limited opposition. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong independent candidate qualifying for the November ballot, a late primary surprise, or unforeseen developments such as health issues or major scandals affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання