North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated Safe Republican by forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who won by 39 points in 2024, faces a contested June 9 Republican primary against state-endorsed Alex Balazs and Ferris Broxton following April 6 filings, while Democrats pit 2024 nominee Trygve Hammer as presumptive candidate after Vern Thompson's withdrawal. This reflects the state's consistent GOP dominance in federal races, with negligible Democratic viability absent a national wave. Potential shifts could stem from a divisive primary weakening the nominee, scandals, or unforeseen legal developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$26,151 Обс.
$26,151 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$26,151 Обс.
$26,151 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,394 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$9,757 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated Safe Republican by forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who won by 39 points in 2024, faces a contested June 9 Republican primary against state-endorsed Alex Balazs and Ferris Broxton following April 6 filings, while Democrats pit 2024 nominee Trygve Hammer as presumptive candidate after Vern Thompson's withdrawal. This reflects the state's consistent GOP dominance in federal races, with negligible Democratic viability absent a national wave. Potential shifts could stem from a divisive primary weakening the nominee, scandals, or unforeseen legal developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,151Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated Safe Republican by forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who won by 39 points in 2024, faces a contested June 9 Republican primary against state-endorsed Alex Balazs and Ferris Broxton following April 6 filings, while Democrats pit 2024 nominee Trygve Hammer as presumptive candidate after Vern Thompson's withdrawal. This reflects the state's consistent GOP dominance in federal races, with negligible Democratic viability absent a national wave. Potential shifts could stem from a divisive primary weakening the nominee, scandals, or unforeseen legal developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,151Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated Safe Republican by forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who won by 39 points in 2024, faces a contested June 9 Republican primary against state-endorsed Alex Balazs and Ferris Broxton following April 6 filings, while Democrats pit 2024 nominee Trygve Hammer as presumptive candidate after Vern Thompson's withdrawal. This reflects the state's consistent GOP dominance in federal races, with negligible Democratic viability absent a national wave. Potential shifts could stem from a divisive primary weakening the nominee, scandals, or unforeseen legal developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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