Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race due to the state's strong Republican lean, her decisive June 2026 primary victory over a party-endorsed challenger, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. As a rematch of the 2024 contest where she secured roughly 69 percent against Democrat Trygve Hammer, the race reflects consistent voter patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as debate scheduling disputes have not shifted positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health event, or major national political realignment before November 3, though such factors remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$59,934 Обс.
$59,934 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
96%
Trygve Hammer (D)
3%
$59,934 Обс.
$59,934 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Julie Fedorchak (R)
$43,126 Обс.
96%
Trygve Hammer (D)
$16,808 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race due to the state's strong Republican lean, her decisive June 2026 primary victory over a party-endorsed challenger, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. As a rematch of the 2024 contest where she secured roughly 69 percent against Democrat Trygve Hammer, the race reflects consistent voter patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as debate scheduling disputes have not shifted positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health event, or major national political realignment before November 3, though such factors remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$59,934Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race due to the state's strong Republican lean, her decisive June 2026 primary victory over a party-endorsed challenger, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. As a rematch of the 2024 contest where she secured roughly 69 percent against Democrat Trygve Hammer, the race reflects consistent voter patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as debate scheduling disputes have not shifted positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health event, or major national political realignment before November 3, though such factors remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$59,934Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak holds a commanding lead in the North Dakota at-large House race due to the state's strong Republican lean, her decisive June 2026 primary victory over a party-endorsed challenger, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. As a rematch of the 2024 contest where she secured roughly 69 percent against Democrat Trygve Hammer, the race reflects consistent voter patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as debate scheduling disputes have not shifted positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health event, or major national political realignment before November 3, though such factors remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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