Recent district polling from House Majority Forward reveals incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie's net unfavorable rating at minus-14 in PA-07, fueling trader consensus for a Democratic flip in this Lehigh Valley swing district despite its Toss Up Cook rating. A March Franklin & Marshall poll shows Democrats leading the Pennsylvania congressional generic ballot by 7 points, amplified by midterm headwinds for President Trump's party amid the GOP's slim 218-214 House majority. Mackenzie, unopposed in the May 19 Republican primary, faces a competitive Democratic primary with Bob Brooks, Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine, all backed by notable endorsements and raising over $500,000 each as of late March. Upcoming primary outcomes and general election dynamics on November 3 could shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-07 House Election Winner
PA-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,443 Обс.
74%
Republican Party
$132 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent district polling from House Majority Forward reveals incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie's net unfavorable rating at minus-14 in PA-07, fueling trader consensus for a Democratic flip in this Lehigh Valley swing district despite its Toss Up Cook rating. A March Franklin & Marshall poll shows Democrats leading the Pennsylvania congressional generic ballot by 7 points, amplified by midterm headwinds for President Trump's party amid the GOP's slim 218-214 House majority. Mackenzie, unopposed in the May 19 Republican primary, faces a competitive Democratic primary with Bob Brooks, Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine, all backed by notable endorsements and raising over $500,000 each as of late March. Upcoming primary outcomes and general election dynamics on November 3 could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,576Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent district polling from House Majority Forward reveals incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie's net unfavorable rating at minus-14 in PA-07, fueling trader consensus for a Democratic flip in this Lehigh Valley swing district despite its Toss Up Cook rating. A March Franklin & Marshall poll shows Democrats leading the Pennsylvania congressional generic ballot by 7 points, amplified by midterm headwinds for President Trump's party amid the GOP's slim 218-214 House majority. Mackenzie, unopposed in the May 19 Republican primary, faces a competitive Democratic primary with Bob Brooks, Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine, all backed by notable endorsements and raising over $500,000 each as of late March. Upcoming primary outcomes and general election dynamics on November 3 could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,576Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent district polling from House Majority Forward reveals incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie's net unfavorable rating at minus-14 in PA-07, fueling trader consensus for a Democratic flip in this Lehigh Valley swing district despite its Toss Up Cook rating. A March Franklin & Marshall poll shows Democrats leading the Pennsylvania congressional generic ballot by 7 points, amplified by midterm headwinds for President Trump's party amid the GOP's slim 218-214 House majority. Mackenzie, unopposed in the May 19 Republican primary, faces a competitive Democratic primary with Bob Brooks, Ryan Crosswell, Lamont McClure, and Carol Obando-Derstine, all backed by notable endorsements and raising over $500,000 each as of late March. Upcoming primary outcomes and general election dynamics on November 3 could shift probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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