The PA-08 race features freshman Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan facing Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti in a November 3 general election after both advanced unopposed through May 19 primaries. The district carries an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has trended Republican in recent cycles yet remains competitive following Bresnahan’s narrow 2024 victory. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee the stronger position, reflecting factors such as early polling margins favoring Cognetti, the incumbent’s prior stock-trading scrutiny as a campaign issue, and broader midterm dynamics in a seat rated toss-up to lean Republican by major forecasters. No major developments have shifted positioning in the past 30 days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-08 House Election Winner
PA-08 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
57%
Republican Party
41%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$645 Обс.
57%
Republican Party
$476 Обс.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The PA-08 race features freshman Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan facing Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti in a November 3 general election after both advanced unopposed through May 19 primaries. The district carries an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has trended Republican in recent cycles yet remains competitive following Bresnahan’s narrow 2024 victory. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee the stronger position, reflecting factors such as early polling margins favoring Cognetti, the incumbent’s prior stock-trading scrutiny as a campaign issue, and broader midterm dynamics in a seat rated toss-up to lean Republican by major forecasters. No major developments have shifted positioning in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,121Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The PA-08 race features freshman Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan facing Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti in a November 3 general election after both advanced unopposed through May 19 primaries. The district carries an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has trended Republican in recent cycles yet remains competitive following Bresnahan’s narrow 2024 victory. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee the stronger position, reflecting factors such as early polling margins favoring Cognetti, the incumbent’s prior stock-trading scrutiny as a campaign issue, and broader midterm dynamics in a seat rated toss-up to lean Republican by major forecasters. No major developments have shifted positioning in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,121Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The PA-08 race features freshman Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan facing Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti in a November 3 general election after both advanced unopposed through May 19 primaries. The district carries an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and has trended Republican in recent cycles yet remains competitive following Bresnahan’s narrow 2024 victory. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee the stronger position, reflecting factors such as early polling margins favoring Cognetti, the incumbent’s prior stock-trading scrutiny as a campaign issue, and broader midterm dynamics in a seat rated toss-up to lean Republican by major forecasters. No major developments have shifted positioning in the past 30 days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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