Paige Cognetti, the Democratic mayor of Scranton, holds a modest edge over Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan in the 2026 Pennsylvania 8th District race, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive midterm contest. Bresnahan won the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin in a district that has trended Republican overall yet remains anchored by Democratic-leaning areas around Scranton. His first-term record, including scrutiny over stock trades, has supplied Democrats with a consistent line of attack. Both candidates ran unopposed in the May 2026 primaries, clearing the field for a general-election matchup focused on local economic issues and national midterm dynamics. Cook Political Report rates the seat Lean Republican or Toss Up depending on the update, consistent with the close implied probabilities in prediction markets. Upcoming campaign events and any further polling shifts could influence positioning before November voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-08 House Election Winner
PA-08 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
41%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,736 Обс.
56%
Republican Party
$1,708 Обс.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paige Cognetti, the Democratic mayor of Scranton, holds a modest edge over Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan in the 2026 Pennsylvania 8th District race, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive midterm contest. Bresnahan won the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin in a district that has trended Republican overall yet remains anchored by Democratic-leaning areas around Scranton. His first-term record, including scrutiny over stock trades, has supplied Democrats with a consistent line of attack. Both candidates ran unopposed in the May 2026 primaries, clearing the field for a general-election matchup focused on local economic issues and national midterm dynamics. Cook Political Report rates the seat Lean Republican or Toss Up depending on the update, consistent with the close implied probabilities in prediction markets. Upcoming campaign events and any further polling shifts could influence positioning before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,444Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paige Cognetti, the Democratic mayor of Scranton, holds a modest edge over Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan in the 2026 Pennsylvania 8th District race, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive midterm contest. Bresnahan won the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin in a district that has trended Republican overall yet remains anchored by Democratic-leaning areas around Scranton. His first-term record, including scrutiny over stock trades, has supplied Democrats with a consistent line of attack. Both candidates ran unopposed in the May 2026 primaries, clearing the field for a general-election matchup focused on local economic issues and national midterm dynamics. Cook Political Report rates the seat Lean Republican or Toss Up depending on the update, consistent with the close implied probabilities in prediction markets. Upcoming campaign events and any further polling shifts could influence positioning before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$4,444Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Paige Cognetti, the Democratic mayor of Scranton, holds a modest edge over Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan in the 2026 Pennsylvania 8th District race, reflecting trader assessment of a competitive midterm contest. Bresnahan won the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin in a district that has trended Republican overall yet remains anchored by Democratic-leaning areas around Scranton. His first-term record, including scrutiny over stock trades, has supplied Democrats with a consistent line of attack. Both candidates ran unopposed in the May 2026 primaries, clearing the field for a general-election matchup focused on local economic issues and national midterm dynamics. Cook Political Report rates the seat Lean Republican or Toss Up depending on the update, consistent with the close implied probabilities in prediction markets. Upcoming campaign events and any further polling shifts could influence positioning before November voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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