**Incumbent Democrat Veronica Escobar faces Republican nominee Adam Bauman in Texas’s 16th congressional district on November 3, 2026.** The El Paso-based seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Escobar ran unopposed in the Democratic primary while Bauman prevailed in the Republican runoff after a crowded March primary. The district’s heavily Hispanic electorate and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A late scandal, health event, or unusually large Republican national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such shifts unlikely to alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-16 House Election Winner
TX-16 House Election Winner
$19,430 Обс.
$19,430 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$19,430 Обс.
$19,430 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,998 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$6,433 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Veronica Escobar faces Republican nominee Adam Bauman in Texas’s 16th congressional district on November 3, 2026.**
The El Paso-based seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Escobar ran unopposed in the Democratic primary while Bauman prevailed in the Republican runoff after a crowded March primary. The district’s heavily Hispanic electorate and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
A late scandal, health event, or unusually large Republican national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such shifts unlikely to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,430Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Veronica Escobar faces Republican nominee Adam Bauman in Texas’s 16th congressional district on November 3, 2026.**
The El Paso-based seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Escobar ran unopposed in the Democratic primary while Bauman prevailed in the Republican runoff after a crowded March primary. The district’s heavily Hispanic electorate and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
A late scandal, health event, or unusually large Republican national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such shifts unlikely to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,430Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Veronica Escobar faces Republican nominee Adam Bauman in Texas’s 16th congressional district on November 3, 2026.** The El Paso-based seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Escobar ran unopposed in the Democratic primary while Bauman prevailed in the Republican runoff after a crowded March primary. The district’s heavily Hispanic electorate and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A late scandal, health event, or unusually large Republican national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make such shifts unlikely to alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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