Mark Pocan’s commanding position in the WI-02 House race stems from the district’s deep Democratic tilt, anchored in Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, along with the complete absence of a Republican nominee after the June 2026 filing deadline. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Pocan, the seven-term incumbent, easily won the August 11 Democratic primary against challenger Douglas Alexander. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical margins exceeding 40 points. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen independent or write-in surge or a major late development affecting the nominee, though both remain remote given the district’s consistent partisan alignment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$102,288 Обс.
$102,288 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Republican Party
1%
$102,288 Обс.
$102,288 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
$62,181 Обс.
97%
Republican Party
$40,107 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s commanding position in the WI-02 House race stems from the district’s deep Democratic tilt, anchored in Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, along with the complete absence of a Republican nominee after the June 2026 filing deadline. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Pocan, the seven-term incumbent, easily won the August 11 Democratic primary against challenger Douglas Alexander. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical margins exceeding 40 points. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen independent or write-in surge or a major late development affecting the nominee, though both remain remote given the district’s consistent partisan alignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$102,288Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s commanding position in the WI-02 House race stems from the district’s deep Democratic tilt, anchored in Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, along with the complete absence of a Republican nominee after the June 2026 filing deadline. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Pocan, the seven-term incumbent, easily won the August 11 Democratic primary against challenger Douglas Alexander. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical margins exceeding 40 points. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen independent or write-in surge or a major late development affecting the nominee, though both remain remote given the district’s consistent partisan alignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$102,288Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan’s commanding position in the WI-02 House race stems from the district’s deep Democratic tilt, anchored in Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, along with the complete absence of a Republican nominee after the June 2026 filing deadline. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Pocan, the seven-term incumbent, easily won the August 11 Democratic primary against challenger Douglas Alexander. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical margins exceeding 40 points. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen independent or write-in surge or a major late development affecting the nominee, though both remain remote given the district’s consistent partisan alignment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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