The solidly Republican lean of Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, combined with incumbent Glenn Grothman’s long tenure and strong 2024 performance, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting an R+8 partisan voting index and consistent GOP dominance in east-central Wisconsin. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are set to compete on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow has drawn some attention, yet recent polling shows the Republican holding comfortable leads. With the general election still months away, limited shifts in the district’s underlying electoral math sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWI-06 House Election Winner
WI-06 House Election Winner
$19,242 Обс.
$19,242 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
17%
$19,242 Обс.
$19,242 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,624 Обс.
76%
Democratic Party
$8,617 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, combined with incumbent Glenn Grothman’s long tenure and strong 2024 performance, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting an R+8 partisan voting index and consistent GOP dominance in east-central Wisconsin. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are set to compete on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow has drawn some attention, yet recent polling shows the Republican holding comfortable leads. With the general election still months away, limited shifts in the district’s underlying electoral math sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,242Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, combined with incumbent Glenn Grothman’s long tenure and strong 2024 performance, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting an R+8 partisan voting index and consistent GOP dominance in east-central Wisconsin. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are set to compete on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow has drawn some attention, yet recent polling shows the Republican holding comfortable leads. With the general election still months away, limited shifts in the district’s underlying electoral math sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,242Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican lean of Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, combined with incumbent Glenn Grothman’s long tenure and strong 2024 performance, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting an R+8 partisan voting index and consistent GOP dominance in east-central Wisconsin. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are set to compete on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow has drawn some attention, yet recent polling shows the Republican holding comfortable leads. With the general election still months away, limited shifts in the district’s underlying electoral math sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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