Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican WI-06 district, rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for the Republican Party nominee. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, as the crowded Democratic primary—featuring eight candidates including veteran Bradley Smith and local official Aaron Wojciechowski—remains unpolled ahead of the August 11 contest, with Smith leading early fundraising. An independent bid by union fire captain Mike Thurow adds minor uncertainty but reinforces barriers to a Democratic upset, given Grothman's history of comfortable victories and the district's conservative electorate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWI-06 House Election Winner
WI-06 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,125 Обс.
82%
Democratic Party
$2,691 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican WI-06 district, rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for the Republican Party nominee. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, as the crowded Democratic primary—featuring eight candidates including veteran Bradley Smith and local official Aaron Wojciechowski—remains unpolled ahead of the August 11 contest, with Smith leading early fundraising. An independent bid by union fire captain Mike Thurow adds minor uncertainty but reinforces barriers to a Democratic upset, given Grothman's history of comfortable victories and the district's conservative electorate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,816Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican WI-06 district, rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for the Republican Party nominee. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, as the crowded Democratic primary—featuring eight candidates including veteran Bradley Smith and local official Aaron Wojciechowski—remains unpolled ahead of the August 11 contest, with Smith leading early fundraising. An independent bid by union fire captain Mike Thurow adds minor uncertainty but reinforces barriers to a Democratic upset, given Grothman's history of comfortable victories and the district's conservative electorate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,816Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in the solidly Republican WI-06 district, rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for the Republican Party nominee. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, as the crowded Democratic primary—featuring eight candidates including veteran Bradley Smith and local official Aaron Wojciechowski—remains unpolled ahead of the August 11 contest, with Smith leading early fundraising. An independent bid by union fire captain Mike Thurow adds minor uncertainty but reinforces barriers to a Democratic upset, given Grothman's history of comfortable victories and the district's conservative electorate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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