Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary for Wisconsin's 6th congressional district, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his party's contest. The district's R+8 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Grothman's 61 percent reelection margin in 2024 and consistent "solid Republican" or "safe" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of recent polling indicating a competitive general election further reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 vote. A substantial national Democratic wave, unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this east-central Wisconsin seat encompassing areas like Oshkosh and Sheboygan.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWI-06 House Election Winner
WI-06 House Election Winner
$36,044 Обс.
$36,044 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
6%
$36,044 Обс.
$36,044 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$19,672 Обс.
92%
Democratic Party
$16,372 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary for Wisconsin's 6th congressional district, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his party's contest. The district's R+8 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Grothman's 61 percent reelection margin in 2024 and consistent "solid Republican" or "safe" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of recent polling indicating a competitive general election further reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 vote. A substantial national Democratic wave, unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this east-central Wisconsin seat encompassing areas like Oshkosh and Sheboygan.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$36,044Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary for Wisconsin's 6th congressional district, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his party's contest. The district's R+8 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Grothman's 61 percent reelection margin in 2024 and consistent "solid Republican" or "safe" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of recent polling indicating a competitive general election further reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 vote. A substantial national Democratic wave, unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this east-central Wisconsin seat encompassing areas like Oshkosh and Sheboygan.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$36,044Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary for Wisconsin's 6th congressional district, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his party's contest. The district's R+8 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Grothman's 61 percent reelection margin in 2024 and consistent "solid Republican" or "safe" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of recent polling indicating a competitive general election further reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 vote. A substantial national Democratic wave, unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this east-central Wisconsin seat encompassing areas like Oshkosh and Sheboygan.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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