Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces a well-funded Democratic challenge from Rebecca Cooke in Wisconsin’s 3rd district, an R+3 seat that has trended competitive in recent cycles. Cooke has built a sizable cash advantage, leads internal polling by wide margins in the August 11 Democratic primary, and holds narrow edges in head-to-head general-election surveys against the incumbent. These factors, combined with the midterm environment and the district’s history of close races, have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 78.5 percent while leaving Republicans at 50.5 percent. Primaries conclude in August and the general election occurs November 3, 2026, with both campaigns already emphasizing fundraising and turnout in the Driftless Area.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWI-03 House Election Winner
WI-03 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$538 Обс.
78%
Republican Party
$586 Обс.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces a well-funded Democratic challenge from Rebecca Cooke in Wisconsin’s 3rd district, an R+3 seat that has trended competitive in recent cycles. Cooke has built a sizable cash advantage, leads internal polling by wide margins in the August 11 Democratic primary, and holds narrow edges in head-to-head general-election surveys against the incumbent. These factors, combined with the midterm environment and the district’s history of close races, have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 78.5 percent while leaving Republicans at 50.5 percent. Primaries conclude in August and the general election occurs November 3, 2026, with both campaigns already emphasizing fundraising and turnout in the Driftless Area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,124Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces a well-funded Democratic challenge from Rebecca Cooke in Wisconsin’s 3rd district, an R+3 seat that has trended competitive in recent cycles. Cooke has built a sizable cash advantage, leads internal polling by wide margins in the August 11 Democratic primary, and holds narrow edges in head-to-head general-election surveys against the incumbent. These factors, combined with the midterm environment and the district’s history of close races, have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 78.5 percent while leaving Republicans at 50.5 percent. Primaries conclude in August and the general election occurs November 3, 2026, with both campaigns already emphasizing fundraising and turnout in the Driftless Area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,124Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces a well-funded Democratic challenge from Rebecca Cooke in Wisconsin’s 3rd district, an R+3 seat that has trended competitive in recent cycles. Cooke has built a sizable cash advantage, leads internal polling by wide margins in the August 11 Democratic primary, and holds narrow edges in head-to-head general-election surveys against the incumbent. These factors, combined with the midterm environment and the district’s history of close races, have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 78.5 percent while leaving Republicans at 50.5 percent. Primaries conclude in August and the general election occurs November 3, 2026, with both campaigns already emphasizing fundraising and turnout in the Driftless Area.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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