In Alaska's open gubernatorial race, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, trader consensus reflects a fragmented top-four primary field where recent Alaska Survey Research polling (March 19-22) shows Democrat Tom Begich leading at 19% over Republican Bernadette Wilson at 14%, followed closely by Republicans David Bronson and Democrat Matt Claman at 10% each. This GOP vote split, combined with ranked-choice voting dynamics favoring broad appeal in the November general, keeps the contest tight despite Wilson's slim 29.5% edge over Begich's 26.5%. Cook Political Report's April 16 shift to Likely Republican cites Dunleavy's low approval and Alaska's political independence. Consolidation via endorsements, the June 1 filing deadline, or new polls could create separation ahead of the August 18 primary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець виборів губернатора Аляски
Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски
Бернадетт Вілсон 30%
Том Бегіч 27%
Treg Taylor 12.4%
Ненсі Дальстром 11.4%
$826,199 Обс.
$826,199 Обс.
Бернадетт Вілсон
30%
Том Бегіч
27%
Treg Taylor
12%
Ненсі Дальстром
11%
Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
2%
Adam Crum
1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
Метт Хейлала
<1%
Джеймс Паркін
<1%
Брюс Волден
<1%
Бернадетт Вілсон 30%
Том Бегіч 27%
Treg Taylor 12.4%
Ненсі Дальстром 11.4%
$826,199 Обс.
$826,199 Обс.
Бернадетт Вілсон
30%
Том Бегіч
27%
Treg Taylor
12%
Ненсі Дальстром
11%
Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
2%
Adam Crum
1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
Метт Хейлала
<1%
Джеймс Паркін
<1%
Брюс Волден
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open gubernatorial race, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, trader consensus reflects a fragmented top-four primary field where recent Alaska Survey Research polling (March 19-22) shows Democrat Tom Begich leading at 19% over Republican Bernadette Wilson at 14%, followed closely by Republicans David Bronson and Democrat Matt Claman at 10% each. This GOP vote split, combined with ranked-choice voting dynamics favoring broad appeal in the November general, keeps the contest tight despite Wilson's slim 29.5% edge over Begich's 26.5%. Cook Political Report's April 16 shift to Likely Republican cites Dunleavy's low approval and Alaska's political independence. Consolidation via endorsements, the June 1 filing deadline, or new polls could create separation ahead of the August 18 primary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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