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Вибори·Вибори в США

Alaska Senate Election Winner

icon for Alaska Senate Election Winner
Вибори·Вибори в США

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 64%

Sen. Dan Sullivan 38%

Richard Grayson <1%

Dustin Darden <1%

Polymarket

$469,731 Обс.

Mary Peltola 64%

Sen. Dan Sullivan 38%

Richard Grayson <1%

Dustin Darden <1%

Polymarket

$469,731 Обс.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$244,308 Обс.

64%

icon for Sen. Dan Sullivan

Sen. Dan Sullivan

$139,353 Обс.

38%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$24,707 Обс.

<1%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$23,336 Обс.

<1%

icon for Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

$0 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ann Diener

Ann Diener

$36,064 Обс.

<1%

icon for David Leslie

David Leslie

$1,963 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola leads trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska Senate race following her 49.5% finish in the August nonpartisan primary, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan S. Sullivan at 41.4%. The top-four primary advanced Peltola, Sullivan, Republican Dan J. Sullivan, and Republican Gerald Heikes after Democrat David Leslie withdrew, setting up a ranked-choice general election on November 3. Recent polls show a tossup with margins under 2 points in either direction, reflecting Peltola’s strong fundraising edge, crossover appeal in Alaska’s independent electorate, and prior electoral success against the state’s Republican tilt. Sullivan maintains support through incumbency and party infrastructure, though the presence of a same-name challenger and national midterm dynamics introduce uncertainty. Minor candidates remain negligible factors in current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Обсяг
$469,731
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola leads trader consensus in the 2026 Alaska Senate race following her 49.5% finish in the August nonpartisan primary, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan S. Sullivan at 41.4%. The top-four primary advanced Peltola, Sullivan, Republican Dan J. Sullivan, and Republican Gerald Heikes after Democrat David Leslie withdrew, setting up a ranked-choice general election on November 3. Recent polls show a tossup with margins under 2 points in either direction, reflecting Peltola’s strong fundraising edge, crossover appeal in Alaska’s independent electorate, and prior electoral success against the state’s Republican tilt. Sullivan maintains support through incumbency and party infrastructure, though the presence of a same-name challenger and national midterm dynamics introduce uncertainty. Minor candidates remain negligible factors in current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Обсяг
$469,731
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...

Пов'язане

icon for Чи переможе Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс на виборах губернатора Аляски у 2026 році?

Чи переможе Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс на виборах губернатора Аляски у 2026 році?

60%
Так
icon for Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

49%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?

38%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Alaska Senate Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Mary Peltola» з 64%, далі «Sen. Dan Sullivan» з 38%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Alaska Senate Election Winner» згенерував $469.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 13, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Alaska Senate Election Winner», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Alaska Senate Election Winner» — «Mary Peltola» з 64%. Наступний — «Sen. Dan Sullivan» з 38%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Alaska Senate Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.