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Вибори·Вибори в США

Alaska Senate Election Winner

icon for Alaska Senate Election Winner
Вибори·Вибори в США

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 59%

Dan Sullivan 42%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$335,738 Обс.

Mary Peltola 59%

Dan Sullivan 42%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$335,738 Обс.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$166,116 Обс.

59%

icon for Dan Sullivan

Dan Sullivan

$91,935 Обс.

42%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$21,931 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ann Diener

Ann Diener

$34,206 Обс.

<1%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$21,549 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race in trader consensus at 59 percent implied probability due to her strong early positioning against incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan. Peltola entered the contest in January 2026 after losing her House seat, quickly posting a fundraising advantage of nearly $9 million in the first quarter—more than four times Sullivan’s haul—and multiple Alaska Survey Research polls showing her ahead by five to seven points. Alaska’s nonpartisan August primary and ranked-choice voting general election introduce additional uncertainty, while the recent qualification of a second candidate named Dan Sullivan on the primary ballot has raised questions of potential voter confusion that could affect Republican turnout. These factors, alongside Peltola’s prior statewide victories, have shaped current market pricing ahead of the November 2026 contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Обсяг
$335,738
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race in trader consensus at 59 percent implied probability due to her strong early positioning against incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan. Peltola entered the contest in January 2026 after losing her House seat, quickly posting a fundraising advantage of nearly $9 million in the first quarter—more than four times Sullivan’s haul—and multiple Alaska Survey Research polls showing her ahead by five to seven points. Alaska’s nonpartisan August primary and ranked-choice voting general election introduce additional uncertainty, while the recent qualification of a second candidate named Dan Sullivan on the primary ballot has raised questions of potential voter confusion that could affect Republican turnout. These factors, alongside Peltola’s prior statewide victories, have shaped current market pricing ahead of the November 2026 contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Обсяг
$335,738
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Alaska Senate Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Mary Peltola» з 59%, далі «Dan Sullivan» з 42%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Alaska Senate Election Winner» згенерував $335.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 13, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Alaska Senate Election Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Alaska Senate Election Winner» — «Mary Peltola» з 59%. Наступний — «Dan Sullivan» з 42%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Alaska Senate Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.