The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the OH-03 House election market, driven primarily by the district's strong partisan lean within Franklin County and urban Columbus, where Democrats have consistently secured large margins. Incumbent Joyce Beatty, serving since 2013, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote, facing Republican Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 or stronger and was rated Solid Democratic by analysts. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major shifts in voter registration reinforce trader consensus. Potential disruptors include an unforeseen national wave election, late scandals, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent, though such factors have shown limited historical impact in this district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-03 House Election Winner
OH-03 House Election Winner
$35,067 Обс.
$35,067 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$35,067 Обс.
$35,067 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,267 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$5,800 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the OH-03 House election market, driven primarily by the district's strong partisan lean within Franklin County and urban Columbus, where Democrats have consistently secured large margins. Incumbent Joyce Beatty, serving since 2013, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote, facing Republican Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 or stronger and was rated Solid Democratic by analysts. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major shifts in voter registration reinforce trader consensus. Potential disruptors include an unforeseen national wave election, late scandals, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent, though such factors have shown limited historical impact in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,067Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the OH-03 House election market, driven primarily by the district's strong partisan lean within Franklin County and urban Columbus, where Democrats have consistently secured large margins. Incumbent Joyce Beatty, serving since 2013, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote, facing Republican Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 or stronger and was rated Solid Democratic by analysts. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major shifts in voter registration reinforce trader consensus. Potential disruptors include an unforeseen national wave election, late scandals, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent, though such factors have shown limited historical impact in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,067Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the OH-03 House election market, driven primarily by the district's strong partisan lean within Franklin County and urban Columbus, where Democrats have consistently secured large margins. Incumbent Joyce Beatty, serving since 2013, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote, facing Republican Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 or stronger and was rated Solid Democratic by analysts. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major shifts in voter registration reinforce trader consensus. Potential disruptors include an unforeseen national wave election, late scandals, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent, though such factors have shown limited historical impact in this district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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