A recent Emerson College poll released April 16 captures the tight Michigan Democratic Senate primary contest, tying state Sen. Mallory McMorrow and Abdul El-Sayed at 24% among likely voters, with Rep. Haley Stevens at 13% and 36% undecided—mirroring trader consensus pricing McMorrow slightly ahead at 46.5% implied probability over El-Sayed's 42.5%. El-Sayed's eight-point surge since January stems from strong support among under-40 Democrats (35% to McMorrow's 18%), fueled by progressive appeal, while McMorrow leads voters over 50 and boasts endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Peter Welch. High undecideds and generational splits sustain the deadlock; key developments like further endorsements, fundraising reports, or debates could tip the balance before the August 4 primary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець праймеріз Демократичного сенату Мічигану
Переможець праймеріз Демократичного сенату Мічигану
Mallory McMorrow 47%
Abdul El-Sayed 43%
Haley Stevens 10%
Dana Nessel <1%
$431,113 Обс.
$431,113 Обс.
Mallory McMorrow
47%
Abdul El-Sayed
43%
Haley Stevens
10%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Mallory McMorrow 47%
Abdul El-Sayed 43%
Haley Stevens 10%
Dana Nessel <1%
$431,113 Обс.
$431,113 Обс.
Mallory McMorrow
47%
Abdul El-Sayed
43%
Haley Stevens
10%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A recent Emerson College poll released April 16 captures the tight Michigan Democratic Senate primary contest, tying state Sen. Mallory McMorrow and Abdul El-Sayed at 24% among likely voters, with Rep. Haley Stevens at 13% and 36% undecided—mirroring trader consensus pricing McMorrow slightly ahead at 46.5% implied probability over El-Sayed's 42.5%. El-Sayed's eight-point surge since January stems from strong support among under-40 Democrats (35% to McMorrow's 18%), fueled by progressive appeal, while McMorrow leads voters over 50 and boasts endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Peter Welch. High undecideds and generational splits sustain the deadlock; key developments like further endorsements, fundraising reports, or debates could tip the balance before the August 4 primary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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