Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's strong fundraising—over $2.8 million raised—and bipartisan voting record, highlighted in a March ranking, anchor trader consensus at 73.5% for the Democratic Party in this even-partisan-voting-index district rated Lean Democratic by the Cook Political Report. Recent GOP primary consolidation followed Jose Orozco's April 8 dropout endorsing Greg Cunningham, a Marine veteran and former detective, with President Trump's April 16 endorsement boosting the Republican challenger to 24.5%. Despite these developments, Vasquez's incumbency advantage from his narrow 2022 win holds sway ahead of June 2 primaries, where both candidates face minimal opposition, setting up a competitive November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNM-02 House Election Winner
NM-02 House Election Winner
$16,484 Обс.
$16,484 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
73%
Republican Party
25%
$16,484 Обс.
$16,484 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$994 Обс.
73%
Republican Party
$15,490 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's strong fundraising—over $2.8 million raised—and bipartisan voting record, highlighted in a March ranking, anchor trader consensus at 73.5% for the Democratic Party in this even-partisan-voting-index district rated Lean Democratic by the Cook Political Report. Recent GOP primary consolidation followed Jose Orozco's April 8 dropout endorsing Greg Cunningham, a Marine veteran and former detective, with President Trump's April 16 endorsement boosting the Republican challenger to 24.5%. Despite these developments, Vasquez's incumbency advantage from his narrow 2022 win holds sway ahead of June 2 primaries, where both candidates face minimal opposition, setting up a competitive November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,484Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's strong fundraising—over $2.8 million raised—and bipartisan voting record, highlighted in a March ranking, anchor trader consensus at 73.5% for the Democratic Party in this even-partisan-voting-index district rated Lean Democratic by the Cook Political Report. Recent GOP primary consolidation followed Jose Orozco's April 8 dropout endorsing Greg Cunningham, a Marine veteran and former detective, with President Trump's April 16 endorsement boosting the Republican challenger to 24.5%. Despite these developments, Vasquez's incumbency advantage from his narrow 2022 win holds sway ahead of June 2 primaries, where both candidates face minimal opposition, setting up a competitive November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$16,484Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's strong fundraising—over $2.8 million raised—and bipartisan voting record, highlighted in a March ranking, anchor trader consensus at 73.5% for the Democratic Party in this even-partisan-voting-index district rated Lean Democratic by the Cook Political Report. Recent GOP primary consolidation followed Jose Orozco's April 8 dropout endorsing Greg Cunningham, a Marine veteran and former detective, with President Trump's April 16 endorsement boosting the Republican challenger to 24.5%. Despite these developments, Vasquez's incumbency advantage from his narrow 2022 win holds sway ahead of June 2 primaries, where both candidates face minimal opposition, setting up a competitive November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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