Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 88 percent of the vote in Texas's 20th congressional district, which encompasses western San Antonio and remains heavily Democratic with a partisan voter index around D+12 and a large Hispanic electorate. All major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with the seat's unbroken history of Democratic representation and recent presidential results favoring the party. Republican nominee Edgardo Baez faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have routinely prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects these entrenched advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually low turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-20 House Election Winner
TX-20 House Election Winner
$10,988 Обс.
$10,988 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$10,988 Обс.
$10,988 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,001 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$1,987 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 88 percent of the vote in Texas's 20th congressional district, which encompasses western San Antonio and remains heavily Democratic with a partisan voter index around D+12 and a large Hispanic electorate. All major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with the seat's unbroken history of Democratic representation and recent presidential results favoring the party. Republican nominee Edgardo Baez faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have routinely prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects these entrenched advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually low turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,988Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 88 percent of the vote in Texas's 20th congressional district, which encompasses western San Antonio and remains heavily Democratic with a partisan voter index around D+12 and a large Hispanic electorate. All major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with the seat's unbroken history of Democratic representation and recent presidential results favoring the party. Republican nominee Edgardo Baez faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have routinely prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects these entrenched advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually low turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$10,988Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 88 percent of the vote in Texas's 20th congressional district, which encompasses western San Antonio and remains heavily Democratic with a partisan voter index around D+12 and a large Hispanic electorate. All major forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with the seat's unbroken history of Democratic representation and recent presidential results favoring the party. Republican nominee Edgardo Baez faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic candidates have routinely prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats reflects these entrenched advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually low turnout could still alter the outcome before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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