Republican incumbent Andy Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote in Maryland’s 1st District, facing Democrat Dan Schwartz in the November general election. The district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. Harris has represented the Eastern Shore and parts of Harford County since 2010, benefiting from structural advantages in fundraising and name recognition. A July 2026 poll showed him ahead 52-39 percent. Late developments such as a national Democratic wave, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or successful court-ordered redistricting could narrow margins, though current structural factors limit those risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-01 House Election Winner
$58,633 Обс.
$58,633 Обс.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$58,633 Обс.
$58,633 Обс.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Andy Harris secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote in Maryland’s 1st District, facing Democrat Dan Schwartz in the November general election. The district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. Harris has represented the Eastern Shore and parts of Harford County since 2010, benefiting from structural advantages in fundraising and name recognition. A July 2026 poll showed him ahead 52-39 percent. Late developments such as a national Democratic wave, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or successful court-ordered redistricting could narrow margins, though current structural factors limit those risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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