Incumbent Republican Andy Harris advanced comfortably through the June 2026 primary in Maryland's 1st congressional district, which encompasses the Eastern Shore and portions of Harford and Baltimore counties. The seat has leaned Republican for decades, with Harris securing reelection by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a voter base that favors GOP candidates on registration and turnout metrics. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz emerged from a fragmented primary but confronts the district's consistent partisan tilt and limited fundraising visibility. Election forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican outcome well above 90 percent. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
$58,551 Обс.
$58,551 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$58,551 Обс.
$58,551 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$33,536 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$25,015 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris advanced comfortably through the June 2026 primary in Maryland's 1st congressional district, which encompasses the Eastern Shore and portions of Harford and Baltimore counties. The seat has leaned Republican for decades, with Harris securing reelection by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a voter base that favors GOP candidates on registration and turnout metrics. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz emerged from a fragmented primary but confronts the district's consistent partisan tilt and limited fundraising visibility. Election forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican outcome well above 90 percent. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$58,551Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris advanced comfortably through the June 2026 primary in Maryland's 1st congressional district, which encompasses the Eastern Shore and portions of Harford and Baltimore counties. The seat has leaned Republican for decades, with Harris securing reelection by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a voter base that favors GOP candidates on registration and turnout metrics. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz emerged from a fragmented primary but confronts the district's consistent partisan tilt and limited fundraising visibility. Election forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican outcome well above 90 percent. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$58,551Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris advanced comfortably through the June 2026 primary in Maryland's 1st congressional district, which encompasses the Eastern Shore and portions of Harford and Baltimore counties. The seat has leaned Republican for decades, with Harris securing reelection by double-digit margins in recent cycles amid a voter base that favors GOP candidates on registration and turnout metrics. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz emerged from a fragmented primary but confronts the district's consistent partisan tilt and limited fundraising visibility. Election forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican outcome well above 90 percent. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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