Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with incumbent April McClain Delaney holding the seat after winning 53 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s western Maryland base and suburban Montgomery County portions. The Democratic primary on June 23 features Delaney leading internal polls over challenger David Trone by double-digit margins, reinforcing party control. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory in November 2026, consistent with historical patterns in similarly leaning districts. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national environment or primary surprises that shift the competitive landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-06 House Election Winner
MD-06 House Election Winner
$15,174 Обс.
$15,174 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
8%
$15,174 Обс.
$15,174 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,162 Обс.
91%
Republican Party
$10,012 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with incumbent April McClain Delaney holding the seat after winning 53 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s western Maryland base and suburban Montgomery County portions. The Democratic primary on June 23 features Delaney leading internal polls over challenger David Trone by double-digit margins, reinforcing party control. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory in November 2026, consistent with historical patterns in similarly leaning districts. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national environment or primary surprises that shift the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,174Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with incumbent April McClain Delaney holding the seat after winning 53 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s western Maryland base and suburban Montgomery County portions. The Democratic primary on June 23 features Delaney leading internal polls over challenger David Trone by double-digit margins, reinforcing party control. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory in November 2026, consistent with historical patterns in similarly leaning districts. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national environment or primary surprises that shift the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,174Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with incumbent April McClain Delaney holding the seat after winning 53 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s western Maryland base and suburban Montgomery County portions. The Democratic primary on June 23 features Delaney leading internal polls over challenger David Trone by double-digit margins, reinforcing party control. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory in November 2026, consistent with historical patterns in similarly leaning districts. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national environment or primary surprises that shift the competitive landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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