Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest against minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-02 House Election Winner
MD-02 House Election Winner
$24,629 Обс.
$24,629 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$24,629 Обс.
$24,629 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,596 Обс.
96%
Republican Party
$12,034 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest against minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,629Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest against minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$24,629Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest against minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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