Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr.'s decisive 2024 general election victory in the D+10 Maryland 2nd Congressional District, where he succeeded retiring Rep. Dutch Ruppersberger, anchors trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries and November 3 general election. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, historical Democratic dominance, and Olszewski's strong fundraising with over $500,000 cash on hand. Recent bipartisan bills and local funding wins bolster his incumbency edge, facing only modest primary challengers like Enrico Bailey and Clint Spellman Jr. Realistic shifts would require an upset Democratic primary loss, a major scandal, health issues, or an extreme national Republican wave—scenarios with low historical precedent in safe seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-02 House Election Winner
MD-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,466 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$458 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr.'s decisive 2024 general election victory in the D+10 Maryland 2nd Congressional District, where he succeeded retiring Rep. Dutch Ruppersberger, anchors trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries and November 3 general election. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, historical Democratic dominance, and Olszewski's strong fundraising with over $500,000 cash on hand. Recent bipartisan bills and local funding wins bolster his incumbency edge, facing only modest primary challengers like Enrico Bailey and Clint Spellman Jr. Realistic shifts would require an upset Democratic primary loss, a major scandal, health issues, or an extreme national Republican wave—scenarios with low historical precedent in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,924Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr.'s decisive 2024 general election victory in the D+10 Maryland 2nd Congressional District, where he succeeded retiring Rep. Dutch Ruppersberger, anchors trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries and November 3 general election. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, historical Democratic dominance, and Olszewski's strong fundraising with over $500,000 cash on hand. Recent bipartisan bills and local funding wins bolster his incumbency edge, facing only modest primary challengers like Enrico Bailey and Clint Spellman Jr. Realistic shifts would require an upset Democratic primary loss, a major scandal, health issues, or an extreme national Republican wave—scenarios with low historical precedent in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$7,924Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Olszewski Jr.'s decisive 2024 general election victory in the D+10 Maryland 2nd Congressional District, where he succeeded retiring Rep. Dutch Ruppersberger, anchors trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries and November 3 general election. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, historical Democratic dominance, and Olszewski's strong fundraising with over $500,000 cash on hand. Recent bipartisan bills and local funding wins bolster his incumbency edge, facing only modest primary challengers like Enrico Bailey and Clint Spellman Jr. Realistic shifts would require an upset Democratic primary loss, a major scandal, health issues, or an extreme national Republican wave—scenarios with low historical precedent in safe seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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