Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a structural advantage in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District, a reliably Republican area where the party has posted double-digit margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 victory. Both candidates secured their party nominations without opposition in the June 30, 2026 primaries, locking in the general-election matchup. Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, has built a substantial fundraising lead through small-dollar contributions, holding several times Boebert’s cash on hand and enabling heavier advertising. Laubacher’s moderate background and crossover appeal in the suburban and rural district have narrowed the implied probability gap, though the district’s partisan baseline and Boebert’s incumbency continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican edge. No major late-breaking events have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCO-04 House Election Winner
CO-04 House Election Winner
$15,098 Обс.
$15,098 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Lauren Boebert (R)
63%
Eileen Laubacher (D)
37%
$15,098 Обс.
$15,098 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Lauren Boebert (R)
$10,989 Обс.
63%
Eileen Laubacher (D)
$4,109 Обс.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a structural advantage in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District, a reliably Republican area where the party has posted double-digit margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 victory. Both candidates secured their party nominations without opposition in the June 30, 2026 primaries, locking in the general-election matchup. Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, has built a substantial fundraising lead through small-dollar contributions, holding several times Boebert’s cash on hand and enabling heavier advertising. Laubacher’s moderate background and crossover appeal in the suburban and rural district have narrowed the implied probability gap, though the district’s partisan baseline and Boebert’s incumbency continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican edge. No major late-breaking events have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,098Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a structural advantage in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District, a reliably Republican area where the party has posted double-digit margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 victory. Both candidates secured their party nominations without opposition in the June 30, 2026 primaries, locking in the general-election matchup. Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, has built a substantial fundraising lead through small-dollar contributions, holding several times Boebert’s cash on hand and enabling heavier advertising. Laubacher’s moderate background and crossover appeal in the suburban and rural district have narrowed the implied probability gap, though the district’s partisan baseline and Boebert’s incumbency continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican edge. No major late-breaking events have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,098Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lauren Boebert holds a structural advantage in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District, a reliably Republican area where the party has posted double-digit margins in recent cycles, including her 2024 victory. Both candidates secured their party nominations without opposition in the June 30, 2026 primaries, locking in the general-election matchup. Democrat Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, has built a substantial fundraising lead through small-dollar contributions, holding several times Boebert’s cash on hand and enabling heavier advertising. Laubacher’s moderate background and crossover appeal in the suburban and rural district have narrowed the implied probability gap, though the district’s partisan baseline and Boebert’s incumbency continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican edge. No major late-breaking events have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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