Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman, who secured 72.9 percent of the vote in the 2024 general election, faces Democrat James Russell in the November 3, 2026, general election for Arkansas's 4th congressional district. Westerman ran unopposed in the Republican primary, while Russell defeated Steven O'Donnell in the Democratic primary on March 3. The rural, southern Arkansas district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, reflecting voter alignment with the party's positions on key issues. This structural advantage and limited opposition sustain the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. A significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAR-04 House Election Winner
AR-04 House Election Winner
$15,830 Обс.
$15,830 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$15,830 Обс.
$15,830 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,581 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$6,248 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman, who secured 72.9 percent of the vote in the 2024 general election, faces Democrat James Russell in the November 3, 2026, general election for Arkansas's 4th congressional district. Westerman ran unopposed in the Republican primary, while Russell defeated Steven O'Donnell in the Democratic primary on March 3. The rural, southern Arkansas district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, reflecting voter alignment with the party's positions on key issues. This structural advantage and limited opposition sustain the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. A significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,830Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman, who secured 72.9 percent of the vote in the 2024 general election, faces Democrat James Russell in the November 3, 2026, general election for Arkansas's 4th congressional district. Westerman ran unopposed in the Republican primary, while Russell defeated Steven O'Donnell in the Democratic primary on March 3. The rural, southern Arkansas district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, reflecting voter alignment with the party's positions on key issues. This structural advantage and limited opposition sustain the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. A significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,830Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman, who secured 72.9 percent of the vote in the 2024 general election, faces Democrat James Russell in the November 3, 2026, general election for Arkansas's 4th congressional district. Westerman ran unopposed in the Republican primary, while Russell defeated Steven O'Donnell in the Democratic primary on March 3. The rural, southern Arkansas district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins, reflecting voter alignment with the party's positions on key issues. This structural advantage and limited opposition sustain the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. A significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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