Incumbent Rep. French Hill's easy victory in the March 3 Republican primary, defeating challenger Chase McDowell handily, has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for the Republican Party in the AR-02 House race, reflecting the district's Solidly Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and structural GOP advantages in central Arkansas including Little Rock. Recent FEC filings reported April 16 show Hill raising $558,000 post-primary, vastly outpacing Democratic nominee Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial candidate who underperformed statewide. With no general election polls yet and the November 3 contest seven months away, traders price in Hill's incumbency edge and fundraising dominance, though national midterm dynamics or scandals could shift odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAR-02 House Election Winner
AR-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,898 Обс.
88%
Democratic Party
$4,839 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. French Hill's easy victory in the March 3 Republican primary, defeating challenger Chase McDowell handily, has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for the Republican Party in the AR-02 House race, reflecting the district's Solidly Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and structural GOP advantages in central Arkansas including Little Rock. Recent FEC filings reported April 16 show Hill raising $558,000 post-primary, vastly outpacing Democratic nominee Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial candidate who underperformed statewide. With no general election polls yet and the November 3 contest seven months away, traders price in Hill's incumbency edge and fundraising dominance, though national midterm dynamics or scandals could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,738Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. French Hill's easy victory in the March 3 Republican primary, defeating challenger Chase McDowell handily, has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for the Republican Party in the AR-02 House race, reflecting the district's Solidly Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and structural GOP advantages in central Arkansas including Little Rock. Recent FEC filings reported April 16 show Hill raising $558,000 post-primary, vastly outpacing Democratic nominee Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial candidate who underperformed statewide. With no general election polls yet and the November 3 contest seven months away, traders price in Hill's incumbency edge and fundraising dominance, though national midterm dynamics or scandals could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$6,738Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. French Hill's easy victory in the March 3 Republican primary, defeating challenger Chase McDowell handily, has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for the Republican Party in the AR-02 House race, reflecting the district's Solidly Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and structural GOP advantages in central Arkansas including Little Rock. Recent FEC filings reported April 16 show Hill raising $558,000 post-primary, vastly outpacing Democratic nominee Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial candidate who underperformed statewide. With no general election polls yet and the November 3 contest seven months away, traders price in Hill's incumbency edge and fundraising dominance, though national midterm dynamics or scandals could shift odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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