Incumbent Steve Womack holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indexes around R+13 and prior general election margins exceeding 60 percent. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Womack advanced without primary opposition, while Democrat Robb Ryerse faces the structural barriers of a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. The 95 percent trader consensus aligns with this established pattern, though late developments such as an unforeseen national shift or significant candidate-specific events could still influence the final outcome before certification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAR-03 House Election Winner
AR-03 House Election Winner
$17,288 Обс.
$17,288 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Steve Womack (R)
95%
Robb Ryerse (D)
6%
$17,288 Обс.
$17,288 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Steve Womack (R)
$9,895 Обс.
95%
Robb Ryerse (D)
$7,393 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Steve Womack holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indexes around R+13 and prior general election margins exceeding 60 percent. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Womack advanced without primary opposition, while Democrat Robb Ryerse faces the structural barriers of a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. The 95 percent trader consensus aligns with this established pattern, though late developments such as an unforeseen national shift or significant candidate-specific events could still influence the final outcome before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$17,288Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Steve Womack holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indexes around R+13 and prior general election margins exceeding 60 percent. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Womack advanced without primary opposition, while Democrat Robb Ryerse faces the structural barriers of a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. The 95 percent trader consensus aligns with this established pattern, though late developments such as an unforeseen national shift or significant candidate-specific events could still influence the final outcome before certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$17,288Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Steve Womack holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 3rd congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indexes around R+13 and prior general election margins exceeding 60 percent. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Womack advanced without primary opposition, while Democrat Robb Ryerse faces the structural barriers of a district that has favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. The 95 percent trader consensus aligns with this established pattern, though late developments such as an unforeseen national shift or significant candidate-specific events could still influence the final outcome before certification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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