Luz Rivas holds an 86.5% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market following her June 2, 2026, primary victory, where she secured roughly 51% of the vote against Democratic challenger Angélica María Dueñas (25%) and Republican Rudy Melendez (24%). Dueñas advanced alongside Rivas under California's top-two primary system, but trails at 12.5% amid the incumbent's established fundraising, endorsements, and district profile. The heavily Democratic San Fernando Valley seat makes a November 3 general election between the two Democrats the effective contest, with trader pricing reflecting Rivas's primary margin, legislative record since taking office in 2025, and limited recent polling shifts or campaign developments that would narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)
CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Luz Rivas
87%
Angélica María Dueñas
13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Luz Rivas
$923 Обс.
87%
Angélica María Dueñas
$242 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an 86.5% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market following her June 2, 2026, primary victory, where she secured roughly 51% of the vote against Democratic challenger Angélica María Dueñas (25%) and Republican Rudy Melendez (24%). Dueñas advanced alongside Rivas under California's top-two primary system, but trails at 12.5% amid the incumbent's established fundraising, endorsements, and district profile. The heavily Democratic San Fernando Valley seat makes a November 3 general election between the two Democrats the effective contest, with trader pricing reflecting Rivas's primary margin, legislative record since taking office in 2025, and limited recent polling shifts or campaign developments that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,165Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an 86.5% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market following her June 2, 2026, primary victory, where she secured roughly 51% of the vote against Democratic challenger Angélica María Dueñas (25%) and Republican Rudy Melendez (24%). Dueñas advanced alongside Rivas under California's top-two primary system, but trails at 12.5% amid the incumbent's established fundraising, endorsements, and district profile. The heavily Democratic San Fernando Valley seat makes a November 3 general election between the two Democrats the effective contest, with trader pricing reflecting Rivas's primary margin, legislative record since taking office in 2025, and limited recent polling shifts or campaign developments that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,165Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Luz Rivas holds an 86.5% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market following her June 2, 2026, primary victory, where she secured roughly 51% of the vote against Democratic challenger Angélica María Dueñas (25%) and Republican Rudy Melendez (24%). Dueñas advanced alongside Rivas under California's top-two primary system, but trails at 12.5% amid the incumbent's established fundraising, endorsements, and district profile. The heavily Democratic San Fernando Valley seat makes a November 3 general election between the two Democrats the effective contest, with trader pricing reflecting Rivas's primary margin, legislative record since taking office in 2025, and limited recent polling shifts or campaign developments that would narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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