Recent polling aggregates for the open Iowa Senate seat show a competitive contest between Republican U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson and Democratic state Representative Josh Turek, with Hinson holding a narrow edge in most surveys conducted since late August. Iowa's Republican lean, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024, combined with Hinson's congressional experience, primary victory, and fundraising lead, supports trader consensus favoring her outcome. Turek's strong Democratic primary performance and appeal in some internal polls keep the race within striking distance, though no major shifts have occurred in the past month. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with early voting and turnout dynamics likely to influence the final margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$326,741 Обс.
$326,741 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
57%
Josh Turek (D)
42%
$326,741 Обс.
$326,741 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$169,446 Обс.
57%
Josh Turek (D)
$157,294 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling aggregates for the open Iowa Senate seat show a competitive contest between Republican U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson and Democratic state Representative Josh Turek, with Hinson holding a narrow edge in most surveys conducted since late August. Iowa's Republican lean, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024, combined with Hinson's congressional experience, primary victory, and fundraising lead, supports trader consensus favoring her outcome. Turek's strong Democratic primary performance and appeal in some internal polls keep the race within striking distance, though no major shifts have occurred in the past month. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with early voting and turnout dynamics likely to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$326,741Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling aggregates for the open Iowa Senate seat show a competitive contest between Republican U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson and Democratic state Representative Josh Turek, with Hinson holding a narrow edge in most surveys conducted since late August. Iowa's Republican lean, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024, combined with Hinson's congressional experience, primary victory, and fundraising lead, supports trader consensus favoring her outcome. Turek's strong Democratic primary performance and appeal in some internal polls keep the race within striking distance, though no major shifts have occurred in the past month. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with early voting and turnout dynamics likely to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$326,741Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling aggregates for the open Iowa Senate seat show a competitive contest between Republican U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson and Democratic state Representative Josh Turek, with Hinson holding a narrow edge in most surveys conducted since late August. Iowa's Republican lean, demonstrated by Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024, combined with Hinson's congressional experience, primary victory, and fundraising lead, supports trader consensus favoring her outcome. Turek's strong Democratic primary performance and appeal in some internal polls keep the race within striking distance, though no major shifts have occurred in the past month. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with early voting and turnout dynamics likely to influence the final margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання