Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and Jim Risch's long incumbency as the GOP nominee anchor trader consensus at 96% for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Risch secured the nomination with 67% in the May primary despite challengers, received President Trump's endorsement, and faces limited opposition after the Democratic primary winner withdrew, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the main alternative. Recent polls show Risch ahead by wide margins consistent with the state's partisan lean. The skin-in-the-game pricing accounts for historical voting patterns and structural advantages, though an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or dramatic national shift could still alter the outcome before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIdaho Senate Election Winner
$28,675 Обс.
$28,675 Обс.

Republican
96%

Democrat
5%
$28,675 Обс.
$28,675 Обс.

Republican
96%

Democrat
5%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and Jim Risch's long incumbency as the GOP nominee anchor trader consensus at 96% for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Risch secured the nomination with 67% in the May primary despite challengers, received President Trump's endorsement, and faces limited opposition after the Democratic primary winner withdrew, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the main alternative. Recent polls show Risch ahead by wide margins consistent with the state's partisan lean. The skin-in-the-game pricing accounts for historical voting patterns and structural advantages, though an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or dramatic national shift could still alter the outcome before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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