Incumbent Republican Jim Risch secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over two-thirds of the vote in a low-competition field, positioning him for a fourth term in this solidly Republican state. The Democratic nominee withdrew after the primary, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the main alternative with limited organizational backing. Idaho's voting patterns, fundraising edges, and polling margins exceeding 30 points reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Factors that could narrow the gap include Achilles consolidating cross-party support or unforeseen turnout shifts in the November general election, though structural barriers remain significant.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIdaho Senate Election Winner
$28,675 Обс.
$28,675 Обс.

Republican
96%

Democrat
5%
$28,675 Обс.
$28,675 Обс.

Republican
96%

Democrat
5%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Risch secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over two-thirds of the vote in a low-competition field, positioning him for a fourth term in this solidly Republican state. The Democratic nominee withdrew after the primary, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the main alternative with limited organizational backing. Idaho's voting patterns, fundraising edges, and polling margins exceeding 30 points reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Factors that could narrow the gap include Achilles consolidating cross-party support or unforeseen turnout shifts in the November general election, though structural barriers remain significant.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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