Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Solid Democratic. Mannion secured the Democratic primary with minimal opposition while Republican nominee Kailee Buller advanced from a low-profile contest. Mannion maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million in cash on hand, limiting the challenger’s visibility and organizational reach. Primary results and historical voting patterns in the district have reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican wave, a major scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though none of these factors currently appear probable based on available data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-22 House Election Winner
NY-22 House Election Winner
$14,410 Обс.
$14,410 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$14,410 Обс.
$14,410 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,365 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$4,044 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Solid Democratic. Mannion secured the Democratic primary with minimal opposition while Republican nominee Kailee Buller advanced from a low-profile contest. Mannion maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million in cash on hand, limiting the challenger’s visibility and organizational reach. Primary results and historical voting patterns in the district have reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican wave, a major scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though none of these factors currently appear probable based on available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$14,410Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Solid Democratic. Mannion secured the Democratic primary with minimal opposition while Republican nominee Kailee Buller advanced from a low-profile contest. Mannion maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million in cash on hand, limiting the challenger’s visibility and organizational reach. Primary results and historical voting patterns in the district have reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican wave, a major scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though none of these factors currently appear probable based on available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,410Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely or Solid Democratic. Mannion secured the Democratic primary with minimal opposition while Republican nominee Kailee Buller advanced from a low-profile contest. Mannion maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million in cash on hand, limiting the challenger’s visibility and organizational reach. Primary results and historical voting patterns in the district have reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican wave, a major scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout, though none of these factors currently appear probable based on available data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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