The open-seat NY-21 House race, vacated by Rep. Elise Stefanik's decision not to seek re-election, favors Republicans in this R+10 district per Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, driving trader consensus to 65.5% for a GOP win. Recent March 31 fundraising reports show Republican frontrunner Anthony Constantino leading with $3.5 million cash-on-hand after self-funding $5 million, outpacing Democrat Blake Gendebien's $2.5 million, amid a crowded five-way Democratic primary on June 23. The April 6 filing deadline solidified competitive GOP primary fields against Democrats, reinforcing the partisan lean and resource edge despite no public general election polls, with the contest resolving post-November 3 ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$14,356 Обс.
$14,356 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
66%
Democratic Party
25%
$14,356 Обс.
$14,356 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,884 Обс.
66%
Democratic Party
$4,472 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat NY-21 House race, vacated by Rep. Elise Stefanik's decision not to seek re-election, favors Republicans in this R+10 district per Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, driving trader consensus to 65.5% for a GOP win. Recent March 31 fundraising reports show Republican frontrunner Anthony Constantino leading with $3.5 million cash-on-hand after self-funding $5 million, outpacing Democrat Blake Gendebien's $2.5 million, amid a crowded five-way Democratic primary on June 23. The April 6 filing deadline solidified competitive GOP primary fields against Democrats, reinforcing the partisan lean and resource edge despite no public general election polls, with the contest resolving post-November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,356Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat NY-21 House race, vacated by Rep. Elise Stefanik's decision not to seek re-election, favors Republicans in this R+10 district per Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, driving trader consensus to 65.5% for a GOP win. Recent March 31 fundraising reports show Republican frontrunner Anthony Constantino leading with $3.5 million cash-on-hand after self-funding $5 million, outpacing Democrat Blake Gendebien's $2.5 million, amid a crowded five-way Democratic primary on June 23. The April 6 filing deadline solidified competitive GOP primary fields against Democrats, reinforcing the partisan lean and resource edge despite no public general election polls, with the contest resolving post-November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,356Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat NY-21 House race, vacated by Rep. Elise Stefanik's decision not to seek re-election, favors Republicans in this R+10 district per Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, driving trader consensus to 65.5% for a GOP win. Recent March 31 fundraising reports show Republican frontrunner Anthony Constantino leading with $3.5 million cash-on-hand after self-funding $5 million, outpacing Democrat Blake Gendebien's $2.5 million, amid a crowded five-way Democratic primary on June 23. The April 6 filing deadline solidified competitive GOP primary fields against Democrats, reinforcing the partisan lean and resource edge despite no public general election polls, with the contest resolving post-November 3 ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання