Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its strong partisan lean and history of double-digit GOP margins. Guest advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary, while Chiaradio secured the Democratic nomination in a low-profile contest. The district’s voting patterns, combined with Guest’s incumbency and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus that heavily favors the Republican nominee. Late developments that could alter the outcome remain limited to major scandals, candidate withdrawals, health issues, or an unprecedented national midterm shift boosting Democratic turnout in this rural and suburban district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMS-03 House Election Winner
MS-03 House Election Winner
$62,011 Обс.
$62,011 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
97%
Democratic Party
<1%
$62,011 Обс.
$62,011 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,644 Обс.
97%
Democratic Party
$39,366 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its strong partisan lean and history of double-digit GOP margins. Guest advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary, while Chiaradio secured the Democratic nomination in a low-profile contest. The district’s voting patterns, combined with Guest’s incumbency and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus that heavily favors the Republican nominee. Late developments that could alter the outcome remain limited to major scandals, candidate withdrawals, health issues, or an unprecedented national midterm shift boosting Democratic turnout in this rural and suburban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$62,011Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its strong partisan lean and history of double-digit GOP margins. Guest advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary, while Chiaradio secured the Democratic nomination in a low-profile contest. The district’s voting patterns, combined with Guest’s incumbency and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus that heavily favors the Republican nominee. Late developments that could alter the outcome remain limited to major scandals, candidate withdrawals, health issues, or an unprecedented national midterm shift boosting Democratic turnout in this rural and suburban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$62,011Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its strong partisan lean and history of double-digit GOP margins. Guest advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary, while Chiaradio secured the Democratic nomination in a low-profile contest. The district’s voting patterns, combined with Guest’s incumbency and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus that heavily favors the Republican nominee. Late developments that could alter the outcome remain limited to major scandals, candidate withdrawals, health issues, or an unprecedented national midterm shift boosting Democratic turnout in this rural and suburban district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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