California’s 3rd congressional district underwent redistricting in 2025 that shifted its partisan composition from a narrow Republican lean to a solid Democratic advantage, with the new boundaries incorporating more of northern Sacramento County and other areas where recent presidential voting favored Democrats by double digits. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously serving the adjacent 6th district, is seeking the seat under these revised lines, while the prior Republican incumbent has relocated to a different district. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features multiple Democratic candidates alongside Republican contenders, but the district’s updated Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical voting patterns position the Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite to prevail in the November general election. Trader pricing on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural changes and the absence of countervailing developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-03 House Election Winner
CA-03 House Election Winner
$26,313 Обс.
$26,313 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
5%
$26,313 Обс.
$26,313 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,173 Обс.
87%
Republican Party
$12,141 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 3rd congressional district underwent redistricting in 2025 that shifted its partisan composition from a narrow Republican lean to a solid Democratic advantage, with the new boundaries incorporating more of northern Sacramento County and other areas where recent presidential voting favored Democrats by double digits. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously serving the adjacent 6th district, is seeking the seat under these revised lines, while the prior Republican incumbent has relocated to a different district. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features multiple Democratic candidates alongside Republican contenders, but the district’s updated Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical voting patterns position the Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite to prevail in the November general election. Trader pricing on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural changes and the absence of countervailing developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$26,313Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 3rd congressional district underwent redistricting in 2025 that shifted its partisan composition from a narrow Republican lean to a solid Democratic advantage, with the new boundaries incorporating more of northern Sacramento County and other areas where recent presidential voting favored Democrats by double digits. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously serving the adjacent 6th district, is seeking the seat under these revised lines, while the prior Republican incumbent has relocated to a different district. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features multiple Democratic candidates alongside Republican contenders, but the district’s updated Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical voting patterns position the Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite to prevail in the November general election. Trader pricing on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural changes and the absence of countervailing developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,313Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 3rd congressional district underwent redistricting in 2025 that shifted its partisan composition from a narrow Republican lean to a solid Democratic advantage, with the new boundaries incorporating more of northern Sacramento County and other areas where recent presidential voting favored Democrats by double digits. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously serving the adjacent 6th district, is seeking the seat under these revised lines, while the prior Republican incumbent has relocated to a different district. The June 2 nonpartisan primary features multiple Democratic candidates alongside Republican contenders, but the district’s updated Cook Partisan Voting Index and historical voting patterns position the Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite to prevail in the November general election. Trader pricing on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural changes and the absence of countervailing developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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