Utah's 2nd Congressional District, redrawn after court-ordered changes, now encompasses rural northern areas including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, and parts of Weber counties, delivering a strong Republican tilt reflected in the 2024 presidential results and an R+15 Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore, who prevailed in the June 2026 primary over state Representative Karianne Lisonbee, faces Democrat Peter Crosby and minor-party candidates in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. The dominant trader consensus for a Republican outcome stems from these structural advantages, limited Democratic organization in the district, and Moore's established fundraising and endorsements. A major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the trajectory before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
$15,841 Обс.
$15,841 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$15,841 Обс.
$15,841 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,462 Обс.
95%
Democratic Party
$13,379 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd Congressional District, redrawn after court-ordered changes, now encompasses rural northern areas including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, and parts of Weber counties, delivering a strong Republican tilt reflected in the 2024 presidential results and an R+15 Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore, who prevailed in the June 2026 primary over state Representative Karianne Lisonbee, faces Democrat Peter Crosby and minor-party candidates in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. The dominant trader consensus for a Republican outcome stems from these structural advantages, limited Democratic organization in the district, and Moore's established fundraising and endorsements. A major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,841Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd Congressional District, redrawn after court-ordered changes, now encompasses rural northern areas including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, and parts of Weber counties, delivering a strong Republican tilt reflected in the 2024 presidential results and an R+15 Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore, who prevailed in the June 2026 primary over state Representative Karianne Lisonbee, faces Democrat Peter Crosby and minor-party candidates in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. The dominant trader consensus for a Republican outcome stems from these structural advantages, limited Democratic organization in the district, and Moore's established fundraising and endorsements. A major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,841Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 2nd Congressional District, redrawn after court-ordered changes, now encompasses rural northern areas including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, and parts of Weber counties, delivering a strong Republican tilt reflected in the 2024 presidential results and an R+15 Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore, who prevailed in the June 2026 primary over state Representative Karianne Lisonbee, faces Democrat Peter Crosby and minor-party candidates in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. The dominant trader consensus for a Republican outcome stems from these structural advantages, limited Democratic organization in the district, and Moore's established fundraising and endorsements. A major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the trajectory before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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