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Вибори·Первинні

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Вибори·Первинні

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Stefany Shaheen 57%

Maura Sullivan 30%

Carleigh Beriont 10%

Heath Howard 4.0%

Polymarket

$12,549 Обс.

Stefany Shaheen 57%

Maura Sullivan 30%

Carleigh Beriont 10%

Heath Howard 4.0%

Polymarket

$12,549 Обс.

Stefany Shaheen

$7,650 Обс.

57%

Maura Sullivan

$3,216 Обс.

30%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,333 Обс.

10%

Heath Howard

$350 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 57.5% implied probability to win the open NH-01 Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent double-digit leads in recent University of New Hampshire Granite State Poll surveys among likely Democratic voters, bolstered by family name recognition from Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and solid first-quarter fundraising exceeding $400,000. Maura Sullivan trails at 29.5% on her Marine veteran background, national security experience as former Assistant Secretary of Defense, and superior Q4 2025 fundraising hauls over Shaheen, though recent financial disclosures highlighting high private-sector incomes for both have sparked scrutiny without shifting polls. Carleigh Beriont's 10% reflects local Hampton Selectboard experience, while state Rep. Heath Howard's 4% stems from progressive endorsements and double-digit polling as a Gen-Z outsider in a crowded field. Upcoming forums and summer polling could tip the closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$12,549
Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 57.5% implied probability to win the open NH-01 Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent double-digit leads in recent University of New Hampshire Granite State Poll surveys among likely Democratic voters, bolstered by family name recognition from Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and solid first-quarter fundraising exceeding $400,000. Maura Sullivan trails at 29.5% on her Marine veteran background, national security experience as former Assistant Secretary of Defense, and superior Q4 2025 fundraising hauls over Shaheen, though recent financial disclosures highlighting high private-sector incomes for both have sparked scrutiny without shifting polls. Carleigh Beriont's 10% reflects local Hampton Selectboard experience, while state Rep. Heath Howard's 4% stems from progressive endorsements and double-digit polling as a Gen-Z outsider in a crowded field. Upcoming forums and summer polling could tip the closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$12,549
Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Stefany Shaheen» з 57%, далі «Maura Sullivan» з 30%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $12.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Stefany Shaheen» з 57%. Наступний — «Maura Sullivan» з 30%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.