Utah's court-ordered congressional redistricting has transformed UT-01 into a D+12 leaning district per Cook Partisan Voting Index, with incumbent Rep. Blake Moore shifting to the Republican primary in UT-02, leaving the seat open and driving trader consensus to heavily favor the Democratic Party at 86.5%. Recent Data for Progress polling shows former Rep. Ben McAdams leading the competitive Democratic primary at 36%, followed by state Sen. Nate Blouin at 23%, though Blouin's campaign faced backlash over unearthed social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, potentially boosting McAdams ahead of the June 23 primaries. Republicans feature emerging candidates like Riley Owen and Dave Robinson, but lack a proven incumbent; general election polling remains absent, with national attention on this potential Democratic foothold in a red state.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUT-01 House Election Winner
UT-01 House Election Winner
$26,370 Обс.
$26,370 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
13%
$26,370 Обс.
$26,370 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,044 Обс.
86%
Republican Party
$25,326 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's court-ordered congressional redistricting has transformed UT-01 into a D+12 leaning district per Cook Partisan Voting Index, with incumbent Rep. Blake Moore shifting to the Republican primary in UT-02, leaving the seat open and driving trader consensus to heavily favor the Democratic Party at 86.5%. Recent Data for Progress polling shows former Rep. Ben McAdams leading the competitive Democratic primary at 36%, followed by state Sen. Nate Blouin at 23%, though Blouin's campaign faced backlash over unearthed social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, potentially boosting McAdams ahead of the June 23 primaries. Republicans feature emerging candidates like Riley Owen and Dave Robinson, but lack a proven incumbent; general election polling remains absent, with national attention on this potential Democratic foothold in a red state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$26,370Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's court-ordered congressional redistricting has transformed UT-01 into a D+12 leaning district per Cook Partisan Voting Index, with incumbent Rep. Blake Moore shifting to the Republican primary in UT-02, leaving the seat open and driving trader consensus to heavily favor the Democratic Party at 86.5%. Recent Data for Progress polling shows former Rep. Ben McAdams leading the competitive Democratic primary at 36%, followed by state Sen. Nate Blouin at 23%, though Blouin's campaign faced backlash over unearthed social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, potentially boosting McAdams ahead of the June 23 primaries. Republicans feature emerging candidates like Riley Owen and Dave Robinson, but lack a proven incumbent; general election polling remains absent, with national attention on this potential Democratic foothold in a red state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,370Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's court-ordered congressional redistricting has transformed UT-01 into a D+12 leaning district per Cook Partisan Voting Index, with incumbent Rep. Blake Moore shifting to the Republican primary in UT-02, leaving the seat open and driving trader consensus to heavily favor the Democratic Party at 86.5%. Recent Data for Progress polling shows former Rep. Ben McAdams leading the competitive Democratic primary at 36%, followed by state Sen. Nate Blouin at 23%, though Blouin's campaign faced backlash over unearthed social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, potentially boosting McAdams ahead of the June 23 primaries. Republicans feature emerging candidates like Riley Owen and Dave Robinson, but lack a proven incumbent; general election polling remains absent, with national attention on this potential Democratic foothold in a red state.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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