Katherine Clark’s status as the long-serving Democratic incumbent anchors trader consensus in the MA-05 race, where the district’s strong partisan baseline and history of lopsided margins have produced a 96 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The seat’s Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeds D+24, and Clark captured 98 percent of the general-election vote in 2024 with no Republican opponent on the ballot. Limited Republican recruitment, combined with only modest Democratic primary challenges from Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1 contest, has kept the race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. A late scandal, Clark’s unexpected retirement, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt remain the narrow pathways that could alter the current pricing before November 3, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMA-05 House Election Winner
MA-05 House Election Winner
$26,921 Обс.
$26,921 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
24%
$26,921 Обс.
$26,921 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,849 Обс.
97%
Republican Party
$9,073 Обс.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Katherine Clark’s status as the long-serving Democratic incumbent anchors trader consensus in the MA-05 race, where the district’s strong partisan baseline and history of lopsided margins have produced a 96 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The seat’s Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeds D+24, and Clark captured 98 percent of the general-election vote in 2024 with no Republican opponent on the ballot. Limited Republican recruitment, combined with only modest Democratic primary challenges from Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1 contest, has kept the race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. A late scandal, Clark’s unexpected retirement, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt remain the narrow pathways that could alter the current pricing before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,921Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Katherine Clark’s status as the long-serving Democratic incumbent anchors trader consensus in the MA-05 race, where the district’s strong partisan baseline and history of lopsided margins have produced a 96 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The seat’s Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeds D+24, and Clark captured 98 percent of the general-election vote in 2024 with no Republican opponent on the ballot. Limited Republican recruitment, combined with only modest Democratic primary challenges from Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1 contest, has kept the race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. A late scandal, Clark’s unexpected retirement, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt remain the narrow pathways that could alter the current pricing before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,921Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Katherine Clark’s status as the long-serving Democratic incumbent anchors trader consensus in the MA-05 race, where the district’s strong partisan baseline and history of lopsided margins have produced a 96 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The seat’s Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeds D+24, and Clark captured 98 percent of the general-election vote in 2024 with no Republican opponent on the ballot. Limited Republican recruitment, combined with only modest Democratic primary challenges from Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1 contest, has kept the race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. A late scandal, Clark’s unexpected retirement, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt remain the narrow pathways that could alter the current pricing before November 3, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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