Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to retain Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Katherine Clark's commanding position as House Minority Whip with nearly $2 million cash on hand as of mid-April 2026. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary, mirroring past cycles where Clark secured 74-98% general election margins amid weak GOP opposition. Dual progressive primary challengers—Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman—pose minimal threat given their negligible fundraising. Scenarios to shift odds include a high-profile Republican recruit post-August 25 filing deadline, a Clark scandal, or a national midterm wave, though forecasters like Cook rate it Solid Democratic.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMA-05 House Election Winner
MA-05 House Election Winner
$17,819 Обс.
$17,819 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,819 Обс.
$17,819 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,519 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$1,300 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to retain Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Katherine Clark's commanding position as House Minority Whip with nearly $2 million cash on hand as of mid-April 2026. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary, mirroring past cycles where Clark secured 74-98% general election margins amid weak GOP opposition. Dual progressive primary challengers—Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman—pose minimal threat given their negligible fundraising. Scenarios to shift odds include a high-profile Republican recruit post-August 25 filing deadline, a Clark scandal, or a national midterm wave, though forecasters like Cook rate it Solid Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,819Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to retain Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Katherine Clark's commanding position as House Minority Whip with nearly $2 million cash on hand as of mid-April 2026. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary, mirroring past cycles where Clark secured 74-98% general election margins amid weak GOP opposition. Dual progressive primary challengers—Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman—pose minimal threat given their negligible fundraising. Scenarios to shift odds include a high-profile Republican recruit post-August 25 filing deadline, a Clark scandal, or a national midterm wave, though forecasters like Cook rate it Solid Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$17,819Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to retain Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Katherine Clark's commanding position as House Minority Whip with nearly $2 million cash on hand as of mid-April 2026. No Republican candidates have filed for the September 1 primary, mirroring past cycles where Clark secured 74-98% general election margins amid weak GOP opposition. Dual progressive primary challengers—Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman—pose minimal threat given their negligible fundraising. Scenarios to shift odds include a high-profile Republican recruit post-August 25 filing deadline, a Clark scandal, or a national midterm wave, though forecasters like Cook rate it Solid Democratic.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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