Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured his party's nomination in the September 1, 2026 primary with 99.6 percent of the vote in an uncontested race. Massachusetts' 2nd District carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent with McGovern's repeated reelections by wide margins since 1997. No Republican candidate has filed for the November 3 general election, leaving the seat effectively unopposed on the GOP side according to multiple race ratings that classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with McGovern's established fundraising and constituent base in Worcester and the Pioneer Valley, underpins trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. A late Republican entry, major unforeseen scandal, or significant health event could still shift the result, though such developments remain rare in this district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$63,456 Обс.
$63,456 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Republican Party
5%
$63,456 Обс.
$63,456 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$28,228 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured his party's nomination in the September 1, 2026 primary with 99.6 percent of the vote in an uncontested race. Massachusetts' 2nd District carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent with McGovern's repeated reelections by wide margins since 1997. No Republican candidate has filed for the November 3 general election, leaving the seat effectively unopposed on the GOP side according to multiple race ratings that classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with McGovern's established fundraising and constituent base in Worcester and the Pioneer Valley, underpins trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. A late Republican entry, major unforeseen scandal, or significant health event could still shift the result, though such developments remain rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$63,456Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured his party's nomination in the September 1, 2026 primary with 99.6 percent of the vote in an uncontested race. Massachusetts' 2nd District carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent with McGovern's repeated reelections by wide margins since 1997. No Republican candidate has filed for the November 3 general election, leaving the seat effectively unopposed on the GOP side according to multiple race ratings that classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with McGovern's established fundraising and constituent base in Worcester and the Pioneer Valley, underpins trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. A late Republican entry, major unforeseen scandal, or significant health event could still shift the result, though such developments remain rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$63,456Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern secured his party's nomination in the September 1, 2026 primary with 99.6 percent of the vote in an uncontested race. Massachusetts' 2nd District carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent with McGovern's repeated reelections by wide margins since 1997. No Republican candidate has filed for the November 3 general election, leaving the seat effectively unopposed on the GOP side according to multiple race ratings that classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with McGovern's established fundraising and constituent base in Worcester and the Pioneer Valley, underpins trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic outcome. A late Republican entry, major unforeseen scandal, or significant health event could still shift the result, though such developments remain rare in this district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання