Incumbent Democrat Richard Neal’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and unanimous race ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Neal, first elected in 1988 and current Ways and Means chair, faces only a primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary, while general-election opposition remains limited to unenrolled candidates. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and no major shifts in voter registration or polling have emerged. A Democratic primary upset or late-breaking development such as Neal’s withdrawal due to health or scandal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMA-01 House Election Winner
MA-01 House Election Winner
$12,958 Обс.
$12,958 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$12,958 Обс.
$12,958 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,946 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$5,012 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Richard Neal’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and unanimous race ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Neal, first elected in 1988 and current Ways and Means chair, faces only a primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary, while general-election opposition remains limited to unenrolled candidates. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and no major shifts in voter registration or polling have emerged. A Democratic primary upset or late-breaking development such as Neal’s withdrawal due to health or scandal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,958Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Richard Neal’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and unanimous race ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Neal, first elected in 1988 and current Ways and Means chair, faces only a primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary, while general-election opposition remains limited to unenrolled candidates. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and no major shifts in voter registration or polling have emerged. A Democratic primary upset or late-breaking development such as Neal’s withdrawal due to health or scandal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$12,958Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Richard Neal’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and unanimous race ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Neal, first elected in 1988 and current Ways and Means chair, faces only a primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary, while general-election opposition remains limited to unenrolled candidates. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and no major shifts in voter registration or polling have emerged. A Democratic primary upset or late-breaking development such as Neal’s withdrawal due to health or scandal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання