Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel leads trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting her consistent 55% victories over Republican Dan Franzese in 2022 and 2024 in this D+4 Cook PVI district, which Kamala Harris carried by 5 points last cycle. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore the structural edge, with no retirement signals despite her age. Republicans face a fragmented August 18 primary among eight candidates, including past nominee Franzese and big self-funder Herbert Wertheim, diluting opposition early. Recent March fundraising shows Frankel's $1.46 million cash on hand competitive against GOP totals, while a Democratic poll last week highlighting statewide tight races has not shifted district-specific dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,838 Обс.
74%
Republican Party
$2,595 Обс.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel leads trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting her consistent 55% victories over Republican Dan Franzese in 2022 and 2024 in this D+4 Cook PVI district, which Kamala Harris carried by 5 points last cycle. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore the structural edge, with no retirement signals despite her age. Republicans face a fragmented August 18 primary among eight candidates, including past nominee Franzese and big self-funder Herbert Wertheim, diluting opposition early. Recent March fundraising shows Frankel's $1.46 million cash on hand competitive against GOP totals, while a Democratic poll last week highlighting statewide tight races has not shifted district-specific dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,433Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel leads trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting her consistent 55% victories over Republican Dan Franzese in 2022 and 2024 in this D+4 Cook PVI district, which Kamala Harris carried by 5 points last cycle. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore the structural edge, with no retirement signals despite her age. Republicans face a fragmented August 18 primary among eight candidates, including past nominee Franzese and big self-funder Herbert Wertheim, diluting opposition early. Recent March fundraising shows Frankel's $1.46 million cash on hand competitive against GOP totals, while a Democratic poll last week highlighting statewide tight races has not shifted district-specific dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$4,433Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel leads trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting her consistent 55% victories over Republican Dan Franzese in 2022 and 2024 in this D+4 Cook PVI district, which Kamala Harris carried by 5 points last cycle. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others underscore the structural edge, with no retirement signals despite her age. Republicans face a fragmented August 18 primary among eight candidates, including past nominee Franzese and big self-funder Herbert Wertheim, diluting opposition early. Recent March fundraising shows Frankel's $1.46 million cash on hand competitive against GOP totals, while a Democratic poll last week highlighting statewide tight races has not shifted district-specific dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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