Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold, with no Democratic representative since 1855 and consistent double-digit margins favoring the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while the Democratic primary features Michaela Barnett as the main contender for the November general election against Burchett and independents. Trader consensus reflects the district's partisan composition, rural and suburban voter base in Knox County and surrounding areas, and historical turnout patterns that favor Republican nominees. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unprecedented national wave election, unusually high Democratic turnout, or late developments such as a major scandal or candidate withdrawal to meaningfully shift the implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-02 House Election Winner
TN-02 House Election Winner
$28,042 Обс.
$28,042 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$28,042 Обс.
$28,042 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,235 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$8,807 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold, with no Democratic representative since 1855 and consistent double-digit margins favoring the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while the Democratic primary features Michaela Barnett as the main contender for the November general election against Burchett and independents. Trader consensus reflects the district's partisan composition, rural and suburban voter base in Knox County and surrounding areas, and historical turnout patterns that favor Republican nominees. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unprecedented national wave election, unusually high Democratic turnout, or late developments such as a major scandal or candidate withdrawal to meaningfully shift the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,042Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold, with no Democratic representative since 1855 and consistent double-digit margins favoring the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while the Democratic primary features Michaela Barnett as the main contender for the November general election against Burchett and independents. Trader consensus reflects the district's partisan composition, rural and suburban voter base in Knox County and surrounding areas, and historical turnout patterns that favor Republican nominees. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unprecedented national wave election, unusually high Democratic turnout, or late developments such as a major scandal or candidate withdrawal to meaningfully shift the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,042Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold, with no Democratic representative since 1855 and consistent double-digit margins favoring the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while the Democratic primary features Michaela Barnett as the main contender for the November general election against Burchett and independents. Trader consensus reflects the district's partisan composition, rural and suburban voter base in Knox County and surrounding areas, and historical turnout patterns that favor Republican nominees. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unprecedented national wave election, unusually high Democratic turnout, or late developments such as a major scandal or candidate withdrawal to meaningfully shift the implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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