In Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat with R+17 partisan lean drives trader consensus to 92% for a Republican winner, aligning with forecasters' Solid or Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. The March 10 filing deadline revealed strong GOP primary fields led by well-funded state Rep. Johnny Garrett ($1.4M cash-on-hand) and former Rep. Van Hilleary ($978K) as of March 31, far outpacing Democratic contenders' grassroots efforts. No polls show competitiveness, reinforcing historical GOP dominance in this mid-Tennessee battleground. Scenarios shifting odds include a divisive GOP primary producing a weakened nominee, a Democratic surge via high turnout, or national midterm dynamics, though structural advantages favor Republicans ahead of the August 6 primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,361 Обс.
92%
Democratic Party
$0 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat with R+17 partisan lean drives trader consensus to 92% for a Republican winner, aligning with forecasters' Solid or Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. The March 10 filing deadline revealed strong GOP primary fields led by well-funded state Rep. Johnny Garrett ($1.4M cash-on-hand) and former Rep. Van Hilleary ($978K) as of March 31, far outpacing Democratic contenders' grassroots efforts. No polls show competitiveness, reinforcing historical GOP dominance in this mid-Tennessee battleground. Scenarios shifting odds include a divisive GOP primary producing a weakened nominee, a Democratic surge via high turnout, or national midterm dynamics, though structural advantages favor Republicans ahead of the August 6 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,361Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat with R+17 partisan lean drives trader consensus to 92% for a Republican winner, aligning with forecasters' Solid or Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. The March 10 filing deadline revealed strong GOP primary fields led by well-funded state Rep. Johnny Garrett ($1.4M cash-on-hand) and former Rep. Van Hilleary ($978K) as of March 31, far outpacing Democratic contenders' grassroots efforts. No polls show competitiveness, reinforcing historical GOP dominance in this mid-Tennessee battleground. Scenarios shifting odds include a divisive GOP primary producing a weakened nominee, a Democratic surge via high turnout, or national midterm dynamics, though structural advantages favor Republicans ahead of the August 6 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$4,361Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat with R+17 partisan lean drives trader consensus to 92% for a Republican winner, aligning with forecasters' Solid or Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. The March 10 filing deadline revealed strong GOP primary fields led by well-funded state Rep. Johnny Garrett ($1.4M cash-on-hand) and former Rep. Van Hilleary ($978K) as of March 31, far outpacing Democratic contenders' grassroots efforts. No polls show competitiveness, reinforcing historical GOP dominance in this mid-Tennessee battleground. Scenarios shifting odds include a divisive GOP primary producing a weakened nominee, a Democratic surge via high turnout, or national midterm dynamics, though structural advantages favor Republicans ahead of the August 6 primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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