The Tennessee 6th district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+13 and prior Trump margins near 27 points, anchors trader consensus on a GOP hold at 92.5% implied probability. Incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid created an open seat, yet the May 2026 map redraw preserved suburban Nashville and rural eastern counties favoring Republicans, while multiple GOP primary entrants including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary offer experienced options ahead of the August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment, primary surprises producing a standout challenger, or unforeseen candidate-specific developments to meaningfully shift the general election outcome on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,995 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$1,097 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Tennessee 6th district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+13 and prior Trump margins near 27 points, anchors trader consensus on a GOP hold at 92.5% implied probability. Incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid created an open seat, yet the May 2026 map redraw preserved suburban Nashville and rural eastern counties favoring Republicans, while multiple GOP primary entrants including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary offer experienced options ahead of the August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment, primary surprises producing a standout challenger, or unforeseen candidate-specific developments to meaningfully shift the general election outcome on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,092Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Tennessee 6th district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+13 and prior Trump margins near 27 points, anchors trader consensus on a GOP hold at 92.5% implied probability. Incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid created an open seat, yet the May 2026 map redraw preserved suburban Nashville and rural eastern counties favoring Republicans, while multiple GOP primary entrants including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary offer experienced options ahead of the August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment, primary surprises producing a standout challenger, or unforeseen candidate-specific developments to meaningfully shift the general election outcome on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$6,092Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Tennessee 6th district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+13 and prior Trump margins near 27 points, anchors trader consensus on a GOP hold at 92.5% implied probability. Incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid created an open seat, yet the May 2026 map redraw preserved suburban Nashville and rural eastern counties favoring Republicans, while multiple GOP primary entrants including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary offer experienced options ahead of the August 6 primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment, primary surprises producing a standout challenger, or unforeseen candidate-specific developments to meaningfully shift the general election outcome on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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