Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding position in this Solid Republican district (R+10 PVI), where traders price a GOP hold at 88% implied probability, reflecting his December 2025 special election win by 8.8 points despite Democratic overperformance and heavy outside spending. With the August 6 primaries approaching, Van Epps faces no active challengers after others withdrew, while Democrat Joshua Sales is the lone primary candidate with zero reported fundraising as of late March. Historical R margins exceed 20 points in full cycles, bolstered by Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 district win, underscoring structural barriers to a Democratic upset absent major scandals or turnout surges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-07 House Election Winner
TN-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,244 Обс.
88%
Democratic Party
$1,058 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding position in this Solid Republican district (R+10 PVI), where traders price a GOP hold at 88% implied probability, reflecting his December 2025 special election win by 8.8 points despite Democratic overperformance and heavy outside spending. With the August 6 primaries approaching, Van Epps faces no active challengers after others withdrew, while Democrat Joshua Sales is the lone primary candidate with zero reported fundraising as of late March. Historical R margins exceed 20 points in full cycles, bolstered by Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 district win, underscoring structural barriers to a Democratic upset absent major scandals or turnout surges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,302Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding position in this Solid Republican district (R+10 PVI), where traders price a GOP hold at 88% implied probability, reflecting his December 2025 special election win by 8.8 points despite Democratic overperformance and heavy outside spending. With the August 6 primaries approaching, Van Epps faces no active challengers after others withdrew, while Democrat Joshua Sales is the lone primary candidate with zero reported fundraising as of late March. Historical R margins exceed 20 points in full cycles, bolstered by Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 district win, underscoring structural barriers to a Democratic upset absent major scandals or turnout surges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,302Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding position in this Solid Republican district (R+10 PVI), where traders price a GOP hold at 88% implied probability, reflecting his December 2025 special election win by 8.8 points despite Democratic overperformance and heavy outside spending. With the August 6 primaries approaching, Van Epps faces no active challengers after others withdrew, while Democrat Joshua Sales is the lone primary candidate with zero reported fundraising as of late March. Historical R margins exceed 20 points in full cycles, bolstered by Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 district win, underscoring structural barriers to a Democratic upset absent major scandals or turnout surges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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